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Contested Convention Would Be Disastrous

David Frum explains how it would pan out

By Matt Cantor,  Newser Staff

Posted Feb 20, 2012 1:30 PM CST

(Newser) – As the GOP struggles to settle on a candidate, some are talking about a "brokered convention," at which party leaders would choose the nominee. But today's parties don't have the kind of power players that used to dominate the political scene—and "you can't have a 'brokered convention' in a system where there are no 'brokers,'" writes David Frum at CNN. Instead, one of two scenarios could occur.

In one, Mitt Romney comes close to winning the necessary 1,144 delegates. In that case, it might be possible to "lure" a party chair "from a smaller state with more old-fashioned rules" to push his state's delegates to go for Romney. But the ex-governor would owe that state, which might mean moving further to the right when he should be moving toward the center. In the other scenario, Romney doesn't get close to 1,144. Then party elites—whoever they are—might bring in a new candidate. That would harken back to 1896, when William Jennings Bryan won Democrats' hearts—and lost the election.

Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, speaks to a group of former Salt Lake City Olympics committee members, marking the tenth anniversary of the games, in Salt Lake City, Utah, Saturday, Feb. 18, 2012.
Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, speaks to a group of former Salt Lake City Olympics committee members, marking the tenth anniversary of the games, in Salt Lake...   (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 21 comments
Winston_Smith
Feb 21, 2012 6:39 PM CST
Jonathan Bernstein offers a more thorough description of the pitfalls of a brokered convention in Salon:   http://www.salon.com/2012/02/21/brokering_a_gop_disaster/ .
John
Feb 21, 2012 2:44 PM CST
Any candidate coming out of the republican convention would be a disaster!!
Winston_Smith
Feb 21, 2012 6:59 AM CST
The Republican party of 2012 is a kind of weird Kabuki show, with a bunch of party apparitchiks and misguided grass-rootsers mouthing absurdities that have been fed to them by--who?  I don't know, it seems that hardly anyone does. Clearly there are billionaires and big corporations using enormous amounts of money to pull strings behind the scenes, but we don't know who most of them are and what agendas they have.  Normally these people fight the way most rich people do, quietly and mostly through third parties.  But a brokered convention will force them to do some of their fighting in public, and give us all a chance to learn who is really in charge of the Republican party now.  
 

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