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Facebook IPO: The Emperor Has No Clothes

Stock's rough first day has pundits asking if it's DOA

By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff

Posted May 21, 2012 11:17 AM CDT

(Newser) – Facebook had a disappointing first day on the market, so much so that Dana Blankenhorn of TheStreet is calling the relatively cheery media coverage surrounding it "one of the great frauds in American history." Blankenhorn's reasoning: "If I can barely sell 15% of something at $38 a share, if I have to lay out millions-upon-millions of dollars to prop up that price for a single day, what makes you think I can sell the rest of it at … anything like that price?" Other pundits weigh in:

  • So with IPO hype dying down, is Facebook a good buy? "The short answer is no," writes Eddy Elfenbein of Crossing Wall Street. "The long answer is noooooooo." Using fairly optimistic numbers, he pegs Facebook's actual worth at about $33 per share. Remember, "no company has ever gone public because they thought their share price was too low."
  • But Dan Scholnick of TechCrunch thinks the lack of a day-one "pop" is a good thing—it means Facebook "got the best deal it possibly could," instead of giving up value to bankers. If you bought Facebook stock as a long-term investment you should be happy; if you bought it for short-term gain, you're just engaging in "a high-class form of gambling."
Those gamblers may be regretting their bet; Facebook shares fell more than 12% in the first minute of trading today.

Mark Zuckerberg rings the Nasdaq opening bell from Facebook headquarters in Menlo Park, Calif., May 18, 2012.
Mark Zuckerberg rings the Nasdaq opening bell from Facebook headquarters in Menlo Park, Calif., May 18, 2012.   (AP Photo/Nasdaq via Facebook, Zef Nikolla, File)
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When I got up today, it felt like the Superbowl. Now it feels like it's the 4th quarter of a 45-0 blowout. - An anonymous investor, as quoted by Dana Blankenhorn

Any company that controls online distribution for nine hundred million people and counting has got to be pretty valuable. I’d put my money on that. - Dan Scholnick

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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 6 comments
RinoHunter
May 21, 2012 7:10 PM CDT
Do you know what stock manipulation is?  This is a classic example.  FB was valued at $23 a couple of weeks ago, but with all the hype and behind the scenes maneuvers they managed to get it up to $38 by IPO release.  That's $15 more than it was worth.  The underwriters for this stock need to be investigated by the SEC.  They have committed a criminal act.  The smart guys bought a lot of FB stock at the close Friday and short sold it for a handsome profit today.  Suckers.
Twiny
May 21, 2012 2:42 PM CDT
Facebook is NOT worth 100 billion dollars. Anyone who thinks it is is an idiot. The market certainly doesn't value it that high. 
wwwonderer
May 21, 2012 12:47 PM CDT
If you bought Facebook stock as a long-term investment you should be happy Really?
 

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