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Food Prices Could Jump 4% in 2013

And losses could hit $12B

By Mark Russell,  Newser Staff

Posted Jul 26, 2012 2:35 AM CDT | Updated Jul 26, 2012 3:02 AM CDT

(Newser) – For the average consumer, the effects of this year's brutal drought are still months away, but they are coming, as many food prices next year are expected to jump by as much as 4%, reports Reuters. Already corn and soy prices are going up, which is expected to lead to higher feed costs next, and then higher prices for meat and dairy. Beef is expected to be hit hardest, climbing up to 5% in 2013. Another scary stat: Experts say that drought losses will be at least $12 billion, the most since 1988, reports USA Today. But with the economy's continuing weakness, rising food prices are not expected to boost the overall inflation rate, which is at 2% now and expected to fall to 1.9% next year.

Help may be on the way for farmers by way of a bipartisan $1 trillion farm bill before Congress now. It has passed the Senate, but House Republicans are divided about what to do about it. "I've been urging the House of Representatives to get a bill to the floor and get it voted on so they can conference with the Senate and get a farm bill passed,” said Thomas J. Vilsack, the secretary of agriculture.

Soon to be hit hard: beef prices.
Soon to be hit hard: beef prices.   (AP Photo/The Advocate-Messenger, Clay Jackson)
In this Monday, July 16, 2012 photo, a field of corn that has missed pollination due to high temperatures and little rain stands in Geff., Ill.
In this Monday, July 16, 2012 photo, a field of corn that has missed pollination due to high temperatures and little rain stands in Geff., Ill.   (AP Photo/Robert Ray)
In this Monday, July 16, 2012 photo, a farmer peels back the husk from an ear of corn damaged by weeks of extreme temperatures in Geff., Ill.
In this Monday, July 16, 2012 photo, a farmer peels back the husk from an ear of corn damaged by weeks of extreme temperatures in Geff., Ill.   (AP Photo/Robert Ray)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 6 comments
dr_mabeuse
Jul 27, 2012 8:37 AM CDT
4% is ridiculously low. 54% of the US is experiencing severe drought. The Midwestern corn crop (which is next years' livestock feed) is expected to be >30% lower than normal. And India's monsoons, which usually begin July 1, haven't showed up this year, which will create a huge demand for agroproducts and drive the prices up for everyone.  Ranchers are dumping stock into the market because they can't feed them, so look for beef prices to remain steady or fall short-term. Then meat and dairy will jump by 10-20% or more. Thanks, Global Warming.
Xisiuizado
Jul 27, 2012 8:04 AM CDT
No, that should be 4% times the result of the latest quantitative easing.
Barbs1133
Jul 26, 2012 5:34 PM CDT
Food prices will rise only by 4%.  So if something costs $1 it will cost $1.04 in 2013.  That is a really low estimate.  Wait and see--IMHO it will be closer to 15%.  And what goes up rarely comes down.
 

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