We've got three months to go before the election, and political gurus Larry Sabato and Kyle Kondik lay out some potential game-changers in the presidential race in the Wall Street Journal:
- Sept. 7, Oct. 5, Nov. 2: The dates of the remaining unemployment reports. The last one in particular should resonate into the final weekend. Also to watch: The GDP report out Oct. 26, and Obama will be hoping it's better than the 1.5% mark of the second quarter.
- 26%: That's the proportion of the 2008 electorate made up of minorities. Because Mitt Romney will probably beat John McCain's mark of getting 55% of the white vote, Democrats are pressed to top that 26% figure.
- Aug. 27-30: The dates of the Republican convention, and a strong performance by Romney could give him a "durable bounce" in the crucial swing states. Because Obama is a known entity, the Democratic convention the following week is "largely unimportant."
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, which notes that the debates could be significant, but Romney's VP pick probably won't be.