Obama Has 91% Chance in NH: Oddsmakers

Online traders jump on post-Iowa bandwagon; McCain has 86% shot
By Jim O'Neill,  Newser User
Posted Jan 8, 2008 11:05 AM CST
Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama D-Ill., greets supporters at a rally, Monday, Jan. 7, 2008, in Concord, N.H. (AP Photo/M. Spencer Green)   (Associated Press)
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(Newser) – Online traders give Barack Obama a 91% chance of capturing New Hampshire, a huge jump from the odds on him before his victory in Iowa, reports Bloomberg. Hillary Clinton has just an 8.7% chance, down from 60% before Iowa. "I am genuinely surprised at the groundswell of support that Obama has received," said one strategist. The betting is that the Illinois senator will be the Democratic nominee.

John McCain is the GOP favorite to win in New Hampshire, leading Mitt Romney 86% to 14% in action on Intrade's exchange. Opinion polls also show Obama continuing to surge. The final Zogby tracking poll on New Hampshire, out this morning, shows Obama gaining another three points, to 42%, with Clinton at 29%, and John Edwards at 17%. Zogby has McCain up two to 36%, Romney at 27%, and Mike Huckabee at 10%.