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Texas Looking Like the Newest Blue State

Come November, Lone Star Dems might surprise the state

By Jason Farago,  Newser Staff

Posted Feb 24, 2008 2:02 PM CST

(Newser) – Although Texas' ornery primary-caucus hybrid doesn't take place until March 4, polls are already open and voters are flooding "the reddest counties in a deep red state" to choose a Democratic presidential candidate. The record early turnout is an eye-opening phenomenon, writes Austin American-Statesman columnist Arnold Garcia Jr., who wonders whether a Dem surge can continue through November.

Even if the eventual nominee doesn't win Texas in the general election, says Garcia, a strong showing could help Democrats retake the state legislature and scramble the 2010 race for governor. The Clinton-Obama excitement helps, but the shift can be chalked up above all to the state's former executive. "It was George W. Bush who led Texas Democrats into the wilderness," writes Garcia, "and George W. Bush fatigue could lead them out."

Presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill, speaks to a watch party crowd Thursday, Feb. 21, 2008, in Austin, Texas. Each hopeful spoke at the watch party after Thursday's 90-minute televised debate between Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton.  (AP Photo/Harry Cabluck)
Presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill, speaks to a watch party crowd Thursday, Feb. 21, 2008, in Austin, Texas. Each hopeful spoke at the watch party after Thursday's 90-minute televised debate...   (Associated Press)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., speaks to a crowd at a watch party Thursday, Feb. 21, 2008, in Austin, Texas.  Fellow Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., was also scheduled to speak at the watch party after Thursday's televised debate.   (AP Photo/Harry Cabluck)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., speaks to a crowd at a watch party Thursday, Feb. 21, 2008, in Austin, Texas. Fellow Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack...   (Associated Press)
With a huge Texas state flag as a backdrop, Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., speaks during a campaign stop in McAllen, Texas, Wednesday, Feb. 13, 2008. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
With a huge Texas state flag as a backdrop, Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., speaks during a campaign stop in McAllen, Texas, Wednesday, Feb. 13, 2008. (AP Photo/Eric...   (Associated Press)
A woman holds a Texas and U.S. flag in this file photo.
A woman holds a Texas and U.S. flag in this file photo.   (Associated Press)
Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., while he makes remarks during a rally Friday, Feb. 22, 2008, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., while he makes remarks during a rally Friday, Feb. 22, 2008, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)   (Associated Press)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., makes a campaign stop at Old City Hall in Laredo, Texas, Thursday, Feb. 21, 2008. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., makes a campaign stop at Old City Hall in Laredo, Texas, Thursday, Feb. 21, 2008. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)   (Associated Press)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-NY, speaks to supporters during a rally in Hidalgo, Texas, Wednesday, Feb. 20, 2008. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-NY, speaks to supporters during a rally in Hidalgo, Texas, Wednesday, Feb. 20, 2008. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)   (Associated Press)
Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., during her campaign stop in McAllen, Texas, Wednesday, Feb. 13, 2008. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., during her campaign stop in McAllen, Texas, Wednesday, Feb. 13, 2008. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)   (Associated Press)
A woman screams for Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., during a campaign rally at the  Don Haskin Arena in El Paso, Texas, Tuesday, Feb. 12, 2008. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
A woman screams for Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., during a campaign rally at the Don Haskin Arena in El Paso, Texas, Tuesday, Feb. 12, 2008. (AP Photo/LM Otero)   (Associated Press)
Wearing his Texas garb, William Ferstermacher, 3, adjusts his cowboy hat while waiting for a campaign stop by Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., at the Don Haskin Arena in El Paso, Texas, Tuesday, Feb. 12, 2008. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
Wearing his Texas garb, William Ferstermacher, 3, adjusts his cowboy hat while waiting for a campaign stop by Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., at the Don Haskin Arena...   (Associated Press)
Maria Thompson, left, and Luis Carrasquillo show their support for Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton before her arrival for  campaign rally at the  Don Haskin Arena in El Paso, Texas, Tuesday, Feb. 12, 2008. (AP Photo/LM Otero)
Maria Thompson, left, and Luis Carrasquillo show their support for Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton before her arrival for campaign rally at the Don Haskin Arena in El Paso,...   (Associated Press)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill, on stage at the bottom, left, speaks to a crowd outside the Texas Capitol Friday, Feb. 22, 2008, in Austin, Texas.  (AP Photo/Harry Cabluck)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill, on stage at the bottom, left, speaks to a crowd outside the Texas Capitol Friday, Feb. 22, 2008, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Harry Cabluck)   (Associated Press)
Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., during a rally Friday, Feb. 22, 2008, in Corpus Christi, Texas. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
Supporters cheer for Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., during a rally Friday, Feb. 22, 2008, in Corpus Christi, Texas. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)   (Associated Press)
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