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Diploma Drop to Make College Entry Easier

Slump in high school grad numbers will spark 'buyers market'

By Caroline Zimmerman,  Newser User

Posted Mar 9, 2008 4:34 PM CDT

(Newser) – Students will find college entry far easier in coming years as the number of high school graduates falls, the New York Times reports. The annual US grad count is expected to peak at around 2.9 million in the next year or two, and then slump until 2015. “For the high school graduate, this becomes a buyers’ market,” said University of Vermont President Daniel Fogel.

Colleges plan to boost recruiting and pad aid packages to make up for the shortfall, which experts say will vary by race and region: The number of white graduates will sink, but more Latinos and Asian Americans will earn high school diplomas. Yet colleges with "the strongest brand identification are still going to be awash in applications," one admissions official said.

Steven Roy Goodman, a college admissions strategist, left, speaks with his client Kayani Bhatt, 17, of Bethesda, Md., and his mother, Anand Bhatt, as they discuss which colleges Kayani would like to apply to in Washington on Monday, July 23, 2007.   (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
Steven Roy Goodman, a college admissions strategist, left, speaks with his client Kayani Bhatt, 17, of Bethesda, Md., and his mother, Anand Bhatt, as they discuss which colleges Kayani would like to apply...   (Associated Press)
White college applicants are expected to fall in the next one or two years, but rise among African American and Hispanic high school graduates.
White college applicants are expected to fall in the next one or two years, but rise among African American and Hispanic high school graduates.   (Shutterstock)
Harvard celebrates its graduating class of 2005 in this undated file photo.
Harvard celebrates its graduating class of 2005 in this undated file photo.   (Getty Images)
Admissions Director Angie Glukhov talks about the future at Antioch College in Yellow Springs, Ohio, Tuesday, Oct. 9, 2007.    (AP Photo/Skip Peterson)
Admissions Director Angie Glukhov talks about the future at Antioch College in Yellow Springs, Ohio, Tuesday, Oct. 9, 2007. (AP Photo/Skip Peterson)   (Associated Press)
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