Elon Musk: 70% Odds I'm Going to Mars

Says Red Planet is dangerous, not an escape hatch for the rich
By Polly Davis Doig,  Newser Staff
Posted Nov 25, 2018 8:43 AM CST
In this June 14, 2018, file photo, Tesla CEO Elon Musk speaks at a news conference in Chicago.   (AP Photo/Kiichiro Sato, File)
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(Newser) – Elon Musk thinks the odds are pretty good that he'll get to to climb aboard a SpaceX rocket and take it to Mars in his lifetime—about 70% in his favor, he tells Axios. "I'm talking about moving there," he says, though he doesn't exactly paint a rosy picture of the Red Planet. Highlights from his latest interview on Mars:

  • The cost: "Around a couple hundred thousand dollars."
  • On whether that makes Mars an escape hatch for rich people: "Your probability of dying on Mars is much higher than earth. Really the ad for going to Mars would be like [Sir Ernest] Shackleton’s [supposed] ad for going to the Antarctic. It’s gonna be hard. There’s a good chance of death, going in a little can through deep space."

  • The timeline: As soon as seven years.
  • The day to day: "You'll be working nonstop to build the base. So, you know, not much time for leisure. And even after doing all this, it's a very harsh environment. So ... there’s a good chance you die there."
  • Then why go at all? "There’s lots of people who climb mountains. People die on Mount Everest all the time. They like doing it for the challenge."
(Read more Elon Musk stories.)

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