How much should we blame predictors for getting it wrong?
(NEWSER) - The New Hampshire primary was the biggest high-profile poll upset in memory, says Talking Points Memo’s Josh Marshall—but don’t jump too far down pollsters’ throats. Marshall has a hunch the polls weren’t “wrong,” but rather couldn’t capture a “late swing,” a last-minute “transcendent moment.” Pundits my have been pulling for Obama, but collusion with pollsters doesn't track, he argues. “Polls are usually right.” More»
