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Is There a Solar Bubble?

Parallels with now-depressed ethanol stocks sure to scare investors

By Nick McMaster,  Newser Staff

Posted May 22, 2008 4:01 PM CDT

(Newser) – Stocks in solar-energy outfits are enjoying a sustained rally, but investors should remember the lesson of ethanol, Mark Gongloff writes in the Wall Street Journal. Once-loved ethanol stocks are now widely scorned—mainly because the energy source will never be viable without government subsidies. Still, despite solar’s advantages, shares are far from a sure bet.

Like ethanol, solar could be negatively affected by prices of certain commodities—chiefly silicon, which has been skyrocketing; with its myriad uses, the sun won't likely set on demand anytime soon. And like any stock, Gongloff reminds, a glut of entrants in coming years could diffuse the sector’s gains.

Mark Vargas shows the solar panels on the roof of his home in Santa Clara, Calif., Friday, Feb. 15, 2008.
Mark Vargas shows the solar panels on the roof of his home in Santa Clara, Calif., Friday, Feb. 15, 2008.   (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
Nearly 7,000 Mitsubishi Electric solar panels will provide more than one-third of the Sierra Nevada Brewery's power.
Nearly 7,000 Mitsubishi Electric solar panels will provide more than one-third of the Sierra Nevada Brewery's power.   (AP Photo)
Solar panels are shown on the roof of the home of former Vice President Al Gore in Nashville, Tenn., in a June 7, 2007 file photo.
Solar panels are shown on the roof of the home of former Vice President Al Gore in Nashville, Tenn., in a June 7, 2007 file photo.   (AP Photo/Paul Levy, file)
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