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Forget a Surge: Afghanistan Isn't Worth 'Saving'

Don't waste resources, troops on a hopeless country, writes analyst

By Jason Farago,  Newser Staff

Posted Aug 14, 2008 1:23 PM CDT

(Newser) – Barack Obama and John McCain have strong disagreements over Iraq, but on Afghanistan they agree: a troop surge is necessary. Nearly 60% of Americans agree, as does the defense secretary, Robert Gates. There's just one problem, writes Bartle Breese Bull in the New York Times: even with a costly surge, there's little prospect of making "fractious, impoverished Afghanistan into an orderly and prosperous nation."

To "win" in Afghanistan would take three times as many troops as were sent to Iraq at the height of the surge, he estimates, and none of our stated goals there, including disrupting terrorist havens, justifiy it. "The invasion of Afghanistan was a great tactical success and the correct strategic move. Yet since then it seems as if the United States has been trying to turn the conflict into the Vietnam War of the early 21st century." Instead, he argues for restraint: "train the Afghan Army, support an Afghan state generously in other ways and maintain our intelligence and surgical strike capacities."


A British soldier of International Security Assistance Force patrol as afghan people look on,  near the site of a suicide attack on a NATO convoy in Kabul, Afghanistan, Monday, Aug 11, 2008.
A British soldier of International Security Assistance Force patrol as afghan people look on, near the site of a suicide attack on a NATO convoy in Kabul, Afghanistan, Monday, Aug 11, 2008.   (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)
Soldiers of the International Security Assistance Force stand guard near the site after a suicide attack on NATO convoy in Kabul, Afghanistan, Monday, Aug 11, 2008.
Soldiers of the International Security Assistance Force stand guard near the site after a suicide attack on NATO convoy in Kabul, Afghanistan, Monday, Aug 11, 2008.   (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)
A truck, right, transports coffins containing bodies of foreign aid workers in Kabul, Afghanistan, Wednesday, Aug. 13, 2008.
A truck, right, transports coffins containing bodies of foreign aid workers in Kabul, Afghanistan, Wednesday, Aug. 13, 2008.   (AP Photo/Rahmat Gul)
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Our principal ally at the beginning of the war, the Northern Alliance, controlled more of the country at the end of 2001 than President Hamid Karzai, our current principal ally, effectively controls today.

American counterterrorism interests in Afghanistan appear to argue for something far more restrained than our current commitment there, maybe 20,000 Western troops maximum.

A successful occupation of Afghanistan, which is larger, more complex, more populous and very much less governable than Iraq, would require 400,000 troops.

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