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China Likely to Use Georgia War to Justify Crackdowns

Beijing sees conflict as new lesson to keep minorities in line

By Rob Quinn,  Newser Staff

Posted Aug 19, 2008 2:10 AM CDT

(Newser) – The Chinese government will likely seize upon the Georgia conflict to justify crackdowns on its own separatists in Tibet and Xinjiang, according to a Bloomberg analysis. Chinese officials view the Georgia conflict "as the result of Russia's inability to control the country," and they don't want to make the same mistake, said one analyst.

The resurgence of Russian power will worry China, but the country stands to gain from less restive regions as well as a reduction of American influence in Central Asia. "In the big game, if there is resistance against the US and their allies, it's good news for China," said another observer. "That means more maneuvering room in their role with the US."

A local on a donkey cart past by the border patrol camp near the scene of an attack that killed 16 police in Kashgar, western China's Xinjiang province, Tuesday, Aug. 5, 2008.
A local on a donkey cart past by the border patrol camp near the scene of an attack that killed 16 police in Kashgar, western China's Xinjiang province, Tuesday, Aug. 5, 2008.   (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
Pro Tibet activists unfurl a Free Tibet banner and Tibetan flags on top of a Beijing Olympics billboard, next to China Central Television headquarters in Beijing Friday, Aug. 15, 2008.
Pro Tibet activists unfurl a "Free Tibet" banner and Tibetan flags on top of a Beijing Olympics billboard, next to China Central Television headquarters in Beijing Friday, Aug. 15, 2008.   (AP Photo/Oded Balilty)
Chinese paramilitary officers stand on duty near Norbulingka, the Dalai Lama's former summer palace, the starting point for the Olympic torch relay in Lhasa, Tibet, on Saturday, June 21, 2008.
Chinese paramilitary officers stand on duty near Norbulingka, the Dalai Lama's former summer palace, the starting point for the Olympic torch relay in Lhasa, Tibet, on Saturday, June 21, 2008.   (AP Photo/Ken Teh)
A Uigher resident tries to explain to a Han Chinese patrol guard why he is selling melons on the road curb in Kashgar, western China's Xinjiang province, Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2008.
A Uigher resident tries to explain to a Han Chinese patrol guard why he is selling melons on the road curb in Kashgar, western China's Xinjiang province, Wednesday, Aug. 6, 2008.   (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
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This dispute could cut either way for the Chinese, and so the safest thing to do is to remain silent. - Phil Deans, professor of international affairs at Temple University in Tokyo.

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