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December 2, 2008 9:00:14 PM CST



Wall Street Rumbling Means Little on Main Street

Posted Sep 15, 08 9:29 AM CDT in US Business Opinion 

(Newser) – Fannie and Freddie have been nationalized, Lehman has collapsed, Merrill Lynch has been bought out—an economic disaster, right? Not really, Anatole Kaletsky writes in the Times of London: The US economy is actually showing signs of improvement. More than ever, "there is no contradiction between expecting a recovery, or at least stability, in the US economy and chaos in its financial system."

While unemployment is up slightly and housing prices are down, the US economy nevertheless grew strongly in the last quarter, and estimates are being revised upward. Overly lax regulation has distorted the financial market and expanded the gap between Wall Street and the "real economy." But as financial institutions make huge cuts in borrowing and lending, the effect on the real economy will not be great.

Source Times (UK)

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"The danger" in the current market setup, Kaletsky writes, "is that financial institutions are much more vulnerable to sudden withdrawals of liquidity or loss of confidence."   (AP Photo)
Lehman Brothers headquarters is seen on Wednesday, Sept. 10, 2008 in New York. As the outlook for Lehman Brothers dimmed Sunday, Sept. 14, 2008, U.S. and foreign banks were pressed to create a plan...   (AP Photo/Jin Lee)
People stroll by a company sign of troubled firm Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in front of a buiilding where its head office in Tokyo is housed Monday, Sept. 15, 2008 following the company's filing for...   (AP Photo/Katsumi Kasahara)
Media surround a man as he carries a box from the offices of Lehman Brothers in Canary Wharf in London, Monday, Sept. 15, 2008. The British operations of U.S investment bank Lehman Brothers were placed...   (AP Photo/Kirsty Wigglesworth)
A display screen is seen in the offices of Lehman Brothers in Canary Wharf in London, Monday, Sept. 15, 2008. The British operations of U.S investment bank Lehman Brothers were placed in administration...   (AP Photo/Kirsty Wigglesworth)
"Economic statistics in America have shown no evidence of the catastrophic collapse that seemed to be implied by credit markets and bank shares," Anatole Kaletsky writes in the Times.   (AP Photo)
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Because financial markets anticipate economic reality instead of simply responding to events, they are inherently prone to self-reinforcing cycles of euphoria and panic. - Anatole Kaletsky, Times of London economics columnist

The disproportionate growth of finance is illustrated by the fact that debts owed by financial institutions to one another have mushroomed since the early 1990s—from 42% to 112% of US GDP. - Anatole Kaltesky, Times of London economics columnist

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