Shhh. Don't Tell: I'm Voting for Obama

Disgusted Republicans could cancel out Bradley Effect
By Gabriel Winant,  Newser User
Posted Oct 22, 2008 2:02 PM CDT
Richard Bigger, the Democratic chairman for Henderson County talks about Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama in Oquawka, Ill., Wednesday Oct. 3, 2007.    (AP Photo/Seth Perlman)
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(Newser) – There are plenty of unpredictable factors that might elude pollsters, Kathleen Parker writes in the Washington Post. Most famous is the Bradley Effect. “While some have minimized the impact of a Bradley Effect in this election, we'd be wrong to discount it. Anti-black has morphed to some degree into anti-foreigner and anti-Muslim.” But there may be a Reverse-Bradley Effect among moderate Republicans horrified by the McCain campaign.

If a Reverse-Bradley Effect occurs, it won’t be a positive endorsement of Barack Obama. “Sitting quietly at their desks are an unknown number of discreet conservatives who surprise themselves as they mull their options.” But that’s not a mandate for Obama—it’s a prayer for centrism and sobriety.