Expect Surprises on Tuesday

The WaPost asks some experts which surprises those might be
By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff
Posted Nov 1, 2008 3:48 PM CDT
Citizens' late afternoon shadows are cast onto bunting as they wait in a two-hour line to vote early in a downtown building October 31, 2008 in Columbus, Ohio.   (Getty Images)
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(Newser) – Recent election days have been dramatic affairs. Will Tuesday be any different? The Washington Post asked some politicos to peer into their crystal balls:  

  • Dick Morris and Eileen McGann: The election is a referendum on how much we trust Obama, and undecideds will break McCain’s way. If Obama isn’t “convincingly north of 49%” in the final polls, “we are in for a long night.”
  • James Carville: Bob Barr and Ralph Nader will swing some states (though not the election; Obama will win), with Montana and Barr’s home of Georgia as likely candidates.

  • Mary Beth Cahill: Democrats expect to win all down the ticket, but “the winds of change blow both ways,” and incumbents of either party shouldn’t feel safe.
  • Linda Chavez: “I’d be surprised if John McCain wins even 30% of the Hispanic vote.”
  • Bob Shrum: “The surprise is no surprise—no hanging chads, no reversal of preelection polls or exit polls.” Obama is just too strong.