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How the US Became a Banana Republic

America is a textbook IMF case—but one without a solution

By Jason Farago,  Newser Staff

Posted Mar 30, 2009 2:51 PM CDT

(Newser) – As chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, MIT professor Simon Johnson saw a pattern in bankrupted countries from Argentina to Indonesia: "The powerful elites within them overreached in good times and took too many risks." The current US crisis, Johnson writes in the Atlantic, is "shockingly reminiscent" of an emerging-market basket case—and just as in developing countries, financiers are using government connections "to prevent precisely the sorts of reforms that are needed."

In a typical IMF case, the troubled country has no choice but to swallow its medicine, squeezing oligarchs and breaking up troubled banks. But while the US has the woes of an emerging economy, it has the hubris of a superpower and "could very well stumble along for years." The upshot: We face a crisis that could be "worse than the Great Depression" unless government breaks up the system that currently has it in a stranglehold.

The United States bears the hallmarks of an emerging market economy on the verge of collapse, according to the former chief economist at the IMF.
The United States bears the hallmarks of an emerging market economy on the verge of collapse, according to the former chief economist at the IMF.   (©Nrbelex)
IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn delivers a speech in Paris on March 27, 2009, ahead of the upcoming G20 meeting in London.
IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn delivers a speech in Paris on March 27, 2009, ahead of the upcoming G20 meeting in London.   (AP Photo/Jacques Brinon)
JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, left, and Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein leave the White House on Friday, March 27, 2009, after a meeting between chief executives and President Obama.
JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, left, and Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein leave the White House on Friday, March 27, 2009, after a meeting between chief executives and President Obama.   (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson speaks about China to the World Affairs Council in Washington on Dec. 2, 2008.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson speaks about China to the World Affairs Council in Washington on Dec. 2, 2008.   (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
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If you hid the name of the country and just showed them the numbers, there is no doubt what old IMF hands would say: nationalize troubled banks and break them up. - Simon Johnson in The Atlantic

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COMMENTS
Showing 2 of 2 comments
mockingbird
Mar 31, 2009 7:55 AM CDT
Ditto - it's a sit-down read.
Robert_Dada
Mar 30, 2009 9:46 AM CDT
Just finished it. It compliments Krugman's analysis as well.

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