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Report Seeks More Bank Stress Tests

First round may have underestimated unemployment

By Matt Cantor,  Newser Staff

Posted Jun 9, 2009 8:52 AM CDT

(Newser) – The US should run a second round of bank stress tests if it turns out the government was overly optimistic about the economy in the first round, says a report to be presented to Congress today. The Congressional Oversight Panel, which monitors the bailout, applauded the tests thus far, but noted that they were based on the assumption that this year’s jobless rate wouldn't climb past 8.9%. Unemployment soared to 9.4% last month, the Washington Post reports.

The panel, headed by Harvard Law School prof Elizabeth Warren, said regulators hadn’t been open enough about how the tests were run, making them impossible to replicate to see “how robust they are or to vary the assumptions to see whether different projections might yield very different results.” “Potential risks” could be missed. As long as banks hold toxic assets, they should be subject to more testing, the report said.

Elizabeth Warren, chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, right, testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, Feb. 5, 2009.
Elizabeth Warren, chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, right, testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, Feb. 5, 2009.   (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
Neil Barofsky, Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, moves behind Elizabeth Warren, chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel, on Capitol Hill, Feb. 24, 2009.
Neil Barofsky, Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program, moves behind Elizabeth Warren, chair of the Congressional Oversight Panel, on Capitol Hill, Feb. 24, 2009.   (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, center, talks with Congressional Oversight Panel Chairwoman Elizabeth Warren, right, as panel members arrive for a hearing on TARP in April.
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, center, talks with Congressional Oversight Panel Chairwoman Elizabeth Warren, right, as panel members arrive for a hearing on TARP in April.   (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
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