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It's Too Soon for Feds to Ease Up on Economy

If Washington cuts off the cash, recession will worsen: Krugman

By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff

Posted Jun 15, 2009 9:42 AM CDT

(Newser) – With critics prematurely calling on Washington to scale back financial rescue efforts, economic history fans see “déjà vu all over again,” writes Paul Krugman in the New York Times. This is the third time a major economy has been stuck in a liquidity trap, and both previous times these same calls for restraint have been heeded—with disastrous results.

The New Deal sparked growth until 1937, but after the Fed tightened rates and FDR tried to balance the budget, the economy slumped again. Japan met the same fate in 1997. Today, unemployment is still rising, and “we’re not even experiencing the kind of growth that led to the big mistakes of 1937 and 1997,” Krugman argues. “It’s way too soon to declare victory.”

Arthur Laffer is seen in this file photo. Laffer, of Laffer Curve fame, is worried about inflation.
Arthur Laffer is seen in this file photo. Laffer, of Laffer Curve fame, is worried about inflation.   (Business Wire)
If we stop spending now, we'll probably fall back into recession, Krugman argues.
If we stop spending now, we'll probably fall back into recession, Krugman argues.   (Shutterstock)
Paul Krugman speaks after he was announced the winner of the Nobel Prize in economics, Oct. 13, 2008.
Paul Krugman speaks after he was announced the winner of the Nobel Prize in economics, Oct. 13, 2008.   (AP Photo)
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It’s much too soon to give up on policies that have, at most, pulled us a few inches back from the edge of the abyss. - Paul Krugman

If the government weren’t running a big deficit right now, the economy would probably be well on its way to a full-fledged depression. - Paul Krugman

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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 24 comments
Forderon
Jun 15, 2009 9:12 AM CDT
godawgs, where did get your diploma from, the UGA School of Retards? Or did you even go to college at all? Jimmy Carter was instrumental in the Camp David Peace Accords. You know, the same peace accords that have resulted in 30 years of peace between two crucial Middle East countries, Egypt and Israel? Imagine if Egypt was still a terrorist haven and threatening Israel from that side too?
MarkFL
Jun 15, 2009 8:48 AM CDT
We have to remember that low interest rates make our savings less valuable. We have really leveraged ourselves into a corner. I am not sure if the bailouts will work. They are counter intuitive. It seems like consumers need the money and not the banks. Maybe too big to fail is just plain "too big". Maybe the dollar will become worthless as a result of all this. However, the economists working on this seem to know a lot more about this than I do. I am not opposed to waiting it out. It can't get much worse and the free marketers seem to be hiding in the naughty corner. we'll see...
psycada
Jun 15, 2009 8:40 AM CDT
d00d, you sited an effing blog as your source for debate when your opponent sited an edu. Last I checked, a blog was considered an opinion and an edu site was more of an authority, thus reliable, valid and usable when debating. Your source make you look like a fool. If you're going to site a source against and EDU, you'd better not use an opinion site, especially if you're throwing around accusations of your opponents argument being BS.

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