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Silver: How Do You Rig 11M Votes? Easily

Ayatollah's argument against the possibility of vote fraud doesn't hold water

By Nick McMaster,  Newser Staff

Posted Jun 20, 2009 1:46 PM CDT

(Newser) – Nate Silver has a bone to pick with the ayatollah. In his attempt yesterday to quash claims of voter fraud, Ali Khamenei asserted that President Ahmadinejad had won by 11 million votes. "How can one rig 11 million votes?" he asked. That's faulty logic, cries Silver on FiveThirtyEight.com. In the West, it might prove impossible given all our safeguards, but in Iran, it's actually pretty easy. "It is simply a matter of changing numbers on a spreadsheet."

"Under these conditions, it is essentially no more difficult to steal a thousand votes than one, a million than a thousand, or 11 million than one million," writes Silver. Ahmadinejad's supposed winning percentage of 63% seems to be in a reasonable "sweet spot," neither too high nor too low. "That doesn't mean he stole the election—but it also doesn't mean that he didn't."

An Iranian woman holds a poster of the President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad under a painting of the supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in a rally at the conclusion of the Friday prayers, in Tehran, Iran, Friday, June 19, 2009.
An Iranian woman holds a poster of the President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad under a painting of the supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in a rally at the conclusion of the Friday prayers, in Tehran, Iran,...   (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
This Nov. 26, 2007, file photo shows Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, bottom center, reviewing troops in a gathering of basij paramilitary forces, in Tehran, Iran.
This Nov. 26, 2007, file photo shows Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, bottom center, reviewing troops in a gathering of basij paramilitary forces, in Tehran, Iran.   (AP Photo/file)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 5 comments
kokuaguy
Jun 20, 2009 10:43 AM CDT
A postmark is a pretty basic thing. But refresh my recollection... which election did Gore steal?
TiredMemeCat
Jun 20, 2009 8:41 AM CDT
How? Florida 2000 and Ohio 2004; that's how!
AnnieChrist
Jun 20, 2009 7:10 AM CDT
Or Catherine Haris

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