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Economy Is Only Recovering on Paper

By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff

Posted Aug 12, 2009 9:03 AM CDT

(Newser) – If you’re the glass-half-full type, recent economic indicators look good: Unemployment fell last month, the savings rate is up, and productivity hit a 6-year high. But that same data proves that ordinary people aren’t likely to feel the good vibrations anytime soon, the Washington Post reports. “It's going to be a recovery only a statistician can love,” said a Wells Fargo economist.

Higher productivity, for example, means that companies won’t have to hire more workers, meaning that a "jobless recovery" will likely follow this recession, as it did in 2001. Unemployment fell because 400,000 people left the labor force, not because businesses were hiring. And the high savings rate may seem frugal, but it really means people are scared to spend—and consumer spending makes up 70% of the economy.

In this Oct. 9, 1930 file photo, unemployed people gather outside City Hall in Cleveland, Ohio, to apply for jobs during the Great Depression.
In this Oct. 9, 1930 file photo, unemployed people gather outside City Hall in Cleveland, Ohio, to apply for jobs during the Great Depression.   (AP Photo, file)
David Rabin searches for jobs and researches costs of auto insurance in an office area he plans to paint at his home in Greenwich, Conn. Rabin has been unemployed since October.
David Rabin searches for jobs and researches costs of auto insurance in an office area he plans to paint at his home in Greenwich, Conn. Rabin has been unemployed since October.   (AP Photo/Jessica Hill)
Dressed in a suit and with resume in hand, Chris Adams, 29, an unemployed salesman, tries to find a job on a busy corner in Sacramento, Calif., Friday, Jan. 30, 2009.
Dressed in a suit and with resume in hand, Chris Adams, 29, an unemployed salesman, tries to find a job on a busy corner in Sacramento, Calif., Friday, Jan. 30, 2009.   (AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli)
Cassandra Kelsey, 55, of Washington, has a variety of paperwork seen on Thursday, Feb. 26, 2009. Kelsey was recently laid off from her job with Verizon.
Cassandra Kelsey, 55, of Washington, has a variety of paperwork seen on Thursday, Feb. 26, 2009. Kelsey was recently laid off from her job with Verizon.   (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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Economists are using one concept of recession that is at total variance of how a normal human being
thinks of it.
- Lawrence Mishel, president of the Economic Policy Institute

« Prev« Prev | Next »Next » Slideshow
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 7 comments
kokuaguy
Aug 13, 2009 6:12 AM CDT
Foderon, I carelessly thumbed down your post when I meant to give it a t/u. That would have brought you back to 0. All I want to say is that we shouldn't start blaming Obama for anything yet. His agenda is not totally transparent and given the vicious nature of the opposition it can't ever be. He knows that the right is essentially waging guerilla war against him and his policies and he is smart enough to learn from history and try to prevent the same reverses and set backs that stymied the Carter and Clinton administrations from befalling his. I am h content knowing that I have only two choices, as a liberal who voted for him with no illusions. Either second guess and back bite as many are now doing. Or support him as best I can knowing that what is happening now is infinitely better that what we'd be getting with McCain / Palin. I may well be supporting Kucinich or Nader in 2012, but for now I am proud to claim this fine man as my president and the leader of my party.
Forderon
Aug 12, 2009 9:32 AM CDT
Only 6% of the stimulus funds have been put into circulation so far. The rest of the money is still lying around because red tape won't let the projects get started. After all the bickering and doom and gloom in January about Obama indebting future generations and putting us on a path to socialism, we may not even see half of the funds ever used. Instead individual corporations got immediate relief and they're already recovering, making profits, and paying bonuses again. It's time to admit Obama and economists like Krugman were right--spending during a recession works. If there's anything to blame Obama for, it's for him being a corporatist, not a socialist.
IndependentThinker
Aug 12, 2009 8:25 AM CDT
I think cause this is more of a fluff propaganda piece. There is no real new information here, it is a bunch of guessing. I don't think many of us trust these economic 'experts' anymore and rightly so. All they do is study the economy and none of them saw this coming or so few that their voices were drown out by the ones that had no clue what is going on? What do you think godawgs?

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