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Social Security Faces Grim Forecast for 2010, 2011

Payouts will exceed tax receipts for first time since 1980s

By the Associated Press

Posted Sep 27, 2009 4:40 PM CDT

(AP) – Big job losses and a spike in early retirement claims from laid-off seniors will force Social Security to pay out more in benefits than it collects in taxes the next 2 years, the first time that's happened since the 1980s. The deficits—$10 billion in 2010 and $9 billion in 2011—won't affect payments to retirees because Social Security has accumulated surpluses from previous years totaling $2.5 trillion. But they will add to the overall federal deficit.

Applications for retirement benefits are 23% higher than last year, while disability claims have risen by about 20%. Social Security officials had expected applications to increase from the growing number of baby boomers reaching retirement, but they didn't expect the increase to be so large. "A lot of people who in better times would have continued working are opting to retire," said a Berkeley economics and law professor. "If they were younger, we would call them unemployed."

Projections of Social Security payouts and tax revenue for 2010 and 2011.
Projections of Social Security payouts and tax revenue for 2010 and 2011.   (J. Bell)
Trays of printed Social Security checks wait to be mailed from the US Treasury's financial management services facility in Philadelphia.
Trays of printed Social Security checks wait to be mailed from the US Treasury's financial management services facility in Philadelphia.   (Bradley C Bower)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 43 comments
Face-Of-RNC
Sep 29, 2009 12:55 PM CDT
Well if you're driving on public roads, then you are depending on the government to provide for you. If you enjoy a non-flooded town because of a Core of Engineers dam, same thing. If you have any clean air to breath you can thank the governmnent, and if you prefer dirty air and polluted water, you can thank the anti-government people for gutting the EPA. Would you rather live in a country that has no military, no police force, no fire department? If not then you can thank your government for providing these services. The fact that there are any regulations at all for banks and other financial institutions is due to your government. Your retirement fund would probably be worth 30 to 50% more right now if the government financial regulations had not been gutted over the last few decades. The fact that some shyster corporation hasn't bilked you out of the remainder of your retirement is probably due at least in part to government regulation. And remember where your hard earned dollars come from. If it weren't for the millions of poor and working people in this country, buying products and services, there would be no millionaires, and certainly no billionaires. So lighten up when it comes to complaining about people who aren't as smart or lucky as some are. Any money you are providing to those just too lazy to do for themselves is actually miniscule. It's a lot more likely that your tax dollars are ending up as corporate profits, rather than food in the mouths of poor people.
Enoughie
Sep 29, 2009 3:30 AM CDT
For the thumbs down: truth hurts, doesn't it? Social Security is a system that pays returns to retirees from money paid by subsequent "investors", and not from any actual profit earned. That's also the definition of a Ponzi Scheme. Before the base of taxpayers was much larger, now we're going to have a lot of baby-boomers retiring. So the base of taxpayers shrinks, while the base of retirees expands. Sure, you can raise taxes (and as I understand some of you have no problem with taking other people's money through taxation), but that won't really solve the problem, it would only delay it, while shrinking the economy...
Unaffiliated
Sep 29, 2009 2:34 AM CDT
@Face, I'm only saying my plan for retirement is not to rely on Social Security. I'm not an anti-federalist. I appreciate the Federal government very much. I actually work for a government contractor, so my salary comes straight from tax revenues.

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