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Delaware Now the 2010 Senate Race to Watch

GOP's Castle could beat likely foe Beau Biden: Silver

By Harry Kimball,  Newser Staff

Posted Oct 7, 2009 11:49 AM CDT

(Newser) – GOP Rep. Mike Castle just made Delaware’s 2010 senatorial election interesting, writes Nate Silver. The former governor threw in yesterday against “hypothetical” opponent Beau Biden for his father’s open seat, and the odds are decent it will change hands. Though the popular moderate Republican could run into the right wing of his party and the White House campaign apparatus, Silver thinks his chances are “somewhere north” of 55%-60%.

A Rasmussen poll released before Castle’s decision—and remember, Biden hasn’t yet declared—has him 5 to 8 points ahead of Biden, the state's attorney general. Castle’s age of 70—Biden is 40—could work against him, though his opponent’s name “could be a fundraising magnet for Republicans” as well as a rallying cry for Democrats. Still, Delaware notwithstanding, “some of the gloomier analysis” predicting a rout of Democrats nationally is “overwrought," Silver writes at FiveThirtyEight.com.

Rep. Mike Castle, R-Del.
Rep. Mike Castle, R-Del.   (AP Photo)
Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden may run for his father's senate seat.
Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden may run for his father's senate seat.   (AP Photo)
Vice President Joe Biden talks with his son, Army Capt. Beau Biden, at Camp Victory on the outskirts of Baghdad, Iraq.
Vice President Joe Biden talks with his son, Army Capt. Beau Biden, at Camp Victory on the outskirts of Baghdad, Iraq.   (AP Photo)
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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 3 comments
Shannonals
Oct 8, 2009 11:55 AM CDT
Doesn't seem to have anything in his past to cease his ride to the seat, so he should be a sure bet.
George_Taylor
Oct 8, 2009 5:55 AM CDT
don't all senators look that way.
Fondue
Oct 7, 2009 8:59 AM CDT
That guy looks fuc&ing creepy. I hope he loses on looks alone.

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