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Geologists Warned of Haiti Earthquake

Calculations predicted temblor of up to 7.2 magnitude—but not timing

By Harry Kimball,  Newser Staff

Posted Jan 14, 2010 1:06 PM CST

(Newser) – Scientists have known for years that the fault Haiti sits on was due for a large-magnitude quake—they just didn’t know when. A 2008 paper predicted a quake registering up to 7.2, but “it could have been the next day, it could have been 10 years, it could have been 100,” an expert tells the Miami Herald. The quake that struck near Port-au-Prince was the largest since a 1751 temblor that hit the Dominican Republic.

Geologists surmised that substantial unrelieved pressure had built up in the Enriquillo Fault Line. But even a more precise forecast wouldn't have solved the infrastructure issues hampering relief efforts. “This is the poorest country in the hemisphere,” a think tank director says. “What are they supposed to do and with what resources?” And there’s more to worry about: The Haiti event hasn’t relieved all the pressure, possibly making a quake in Jamaica or the Dominican Republic more likely.

Map shows fault line and quake intensity across Haiti.
Map shows fault line and quake intensity across Haiti.   (AP Photo)
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It could increase the chances. The rupture in the fault line was only 50 miles long. The areas to the east and west that did not rupture are under greater loading, greater stress accumulation. - Dr. Paul Mann, University of Texas

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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 19 comments
toughstuff
Jan 27, 2010 2:56 AM CST
everyone should be very careful about running down the Word of God, He is a God of love & a God of justice. His Word is Truth.
cyclops
Jan 15, 2010 12:36 PM CST
That's a stupid remark if I ever read one.
kROCK91
Jan 15, 2010 12:11 PM CST
Well they opened free medical clinics at the border. Apparently, throngs of Haitians are attempting to make their way there.

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150 UN Haiti Staffers Missing in Rubble


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