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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2009
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NEWS ABOUT: predictions

predictions stories: 20 news summaries

(Newser) - The Federal Reserve is confident the general economy is turning around but still pessimistic on the jobs part, the Wall Street Journal reports. In June meeting minutes issued today, those gathered agreed that data since April “indicated that the economic contraction was slowing and that the decline in activity... More »

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Ben Bernanke • Federal Reserve • recession • unemployment • predictions • financial sector • economic crisis • minutes

 Jacko Knew He'd 
 Die Young: Lisa Marie 

Told former wife years ago he feared he'd end up like Elvis

Jun 28, 09 12:01 PM CDT
(Newser) - The King of Pop was sure he would follow the King to an early grave, blogs Lisa Marie Presley. During his brief marriage to Elvis's daughter, Michael Jackson "stated with an almost calm certainty, 'I am afraid that I am going to end up like him.'" Jackson wasn't... More »

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death • lung disease • Elvis Presley • anxiety • Michael Jackson • predictions • Lisa Marie Presley • concert tour

(Newser) - The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts the 2009 hurricane season will see nine to 14 tropical storms, of which four to seven will develop into full-fledged hurricanes, the Tampa Tribune reports. As many as three could become Category 3 storms, with winds above 111 mph. The prediction jibes with... More »

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weather • hurricane season • Colorado State University • tropical storms • hurricane • predictions • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

(Newser) - Jon Stewart, take note: Jim Cramer is not that bad at picking stocks, the New York Times reports. A study of Cramer’s televised market advice shows that the former hedge fund manager beat the market in 2005-07. The raw numbers from the fictional “Cramer portfolio” outperformed the S&... More »

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stock market • study • financial markets • recession • Jon Stewart • Jim Cramer • predictions

 Italy Squelched Scientist 
 Who Predicted Quake 

Researcher cited for 'spreading alarm,' forced to retract findings

Apr 6, 09 12:16 PM CDT
(Newser) - An Italian scientist had predicted the quake that killed at least 92 early this morning near L’Aquila, but was silenced by the authorities, Reuters reports. Gioacchino Giuliani found evidence a month ago that a strong quake was brewing and organized a public-awareness campaign—which earned him a reprimand from... More »

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Italy • predictions • scientist • earthquake • disaster • seismology

(Newser) - The “collapse of the American dream” is complete, says a Russian scholar, and President Obama will declare martial law and the US will splinter into six regions by the end of 2010, the AP reports. Igor Panarin, the dean of Russia's Foreign Ministry school, cited school shootings, the prison... More »

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Russia • United States • global economy • collapse • predictions • economic downturn • Russian foreign ministry

OPINION

 Nate Silver Turns 
 Crystal Ball 
 on Oscars 

After number-crunching, Slumdog is tops

Feb 16, 09 2:40 PM CST
(Newser) - FiveThirtyEight.com stats-cruncher extraordinaire Nate Silver shifts his sights from politics to the Oscars in New York magazine. He compiled data from 30 years of Academy Awards to discover the best predictors of success, and found that other awards (SAGs, Golden Globes) carry the most weight. Genre is also key;... More »

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Academy Awards • film • award show • Heath Ledger • predictions • Mickey Rourke • Kate Winslet • Danny Boyle • Slumdog Millionaire

 Tech Predictions—From 1968 

Seeing a future full of computers and four hour work days

Nov 20, 08 7:31 AM CST
(Newser) - In 1968 a science fiction writer made some predictions about what 2008 might look like on Nov. 18, 2008. Take a step back into the future with this list from Sci Fi:
  1. Online shopping: Long before Al Gore invented the Internet, he predicted shoppers would pay their bills
... More »

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health • global warming • email • space travel • predictions • cars • computers • Advanced Cell Technology Inc.

Polling Guru Nabs $700K Book Deal

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight fame will write two tomes

Nov 15, 08 11:58 AM CST
(Newser) - Polling expert Nate Silver, the statistical mastermind behind FiveThirtyEight.com, has a new number to crunch: $700,000. That’s roughly how much Silver will net in his new two-book deal with Penguin, the New York Observer reports. Silver will pen one tome on the art of prediction, and... More »

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statistics • book • predictions • Penguin Group • poll numbers • book sale • Nate Silver

 Election 
 Predictors 
 Who Got 
 It Wrong 

Many pundits ruled out Obama victory early

Nov 6, 08 1:22 PM CST
(Newser) - With the election over, what's more fun than calling out all those whose predictions were off—way off. Der Spiegel lists some highlights:
  • "He cannot win, Bill. He cannot win." Hillary Clinton, on Barack Obama
  • "We'll win Florida." Rudy Giuliani
  • "Virginians are really getting
... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Mitt Romney • Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • John McCain • Rudy Giuliani • Ann Coulter • presidential campaign • Rush Limbaugh • Election Day • predictions • Election 2008 • Sarah Palin • George Allen • Hugh Hewitt

$100 Oil Will Return Soon Enough: Study

Price will rebound with economy, likely to hit $200 a barrel in 2030

Nov 6, 08 10:53 AM CST
(Newser) - If today’s price of $60 per barrel of oil seems too good to be true, that’s because it is. Oil prices will rebound to $100 a barrel once the economy recovers, and climb toward $200 by 2030, the market’s most comprehensive review predicts. Output is declining at... More »

MORE ABOUT:
oil • Saudi Arabia • oil price • predictions • oil supply • $100 a barrel oil • oil companies • Big Oil

Obama Wins
in Doonesbury Version of World

Dem's triumph in strip set for next week; some papers dismayed

Oct 31, 08 3:36 PM CDT
(Newser) - Cartoonist Garry Trudeau has put his newspaper clients in to a bit of a pickle, the Washington Post reports. In a bid to stay current, Wednesday’s installment of "Doonesbury"—written a week in advance—will show characters reacting to a Barack Obama victory. The choice is “... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Barack Obama • John McCain • Doonesbury • predictions • Election 2008 • presidential election • Garry Trudeau

A Baseball Nerd Turns to
Election Stats

Nate Silver was right
on the Rays; he's now calling the presidency

Oct 15, 08 11:32 AM CDT
(Newser) - Give the sheer number of political polls being produced, and the history of many of them proving wrong, it takes a seriously smart statistician (and something of a nerd) to predict the presidential race with any authority. Nate Silver, the man who "revolutionized the interpretation of baseball stats,"... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Barack Obama • John McCain • electoral college • Obama 2008 • Tampa Bay Devil Rays • statistics • predictions • baseball • McCain 2008 • Election 2008 • polls • Nick Silver

 Bailout Bumble Sinks 
 Mac in T-Shirt Race 

DC hawker plans to ditch GOP altogether if Palin whiffs in tomorrow's debate

Oct 1, 08 6:19 PM CDT
(Newser) - Souvenir vendors in Washington may have more vested in tomorrow’s debate than most, John Crewdson reports in the Swamp blog. If Sarah Palin doesn’t hold her own, one says he’ll return all his McCain gear to wholesalers. Sales for the maverick’s T-shirts have “tanked” since... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Barack Obama • John McCain • predictions • Election 2008 • Sarah Palin • souvenir • t-shirts

China Ignored Scientists' Quake Warnings

Seismologists told of a major upcoming shake-up

Jun 1, 08 5:56 AM CDT
(Newser) - Chinese officials ignored warnings from leading scientists of an upcoming earthquake in Sichuan Province, including one that almost pinpointed the date of the quake, the Times of London reports. Four seismologists predicted a blast of 6.7 or higher magnitude this year, while another suggested the rumble would occur within... More »

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China • predictions • earthquake • Sichuan province • seismology

 Here We Go Again... 

Rockier-than-average hurricane season predicted; 5 possibly severe

May 22, 08 2:39 PM CDT
(Newser) - Federal storm watchers warned of a possible 16 named storms, and five major hurricanes, this year, the Miami Herald reports. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced a 65% probability that the hurricane season, which stretches for 6 months from June 1, “may very well be a busy”... More »

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winds • tropical storms • hurricane • predictions • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration • disaster preparedness • Federal government

Super Bowl Prediction Central

Prognostications out in from informed and clueless alike

Feb 3, 08 6:11 AM CST
(Newser) - Seems everyone has an idea about how things will go down tonight in Phoenix. The Vegas line currently hovers around 12 points in the Patriots' favor, but the Giants' Plaxico Burress has already promised a 23-17 upset victory by his team. ESPN's experts don't have a consensus prediction, although the... More »

MORE ABOUT:
NFL • New England Patriots • New York Giants • Tom Brady • Eli Manning • sports betting • predictions • Super Bowl XLII

NH Town Always Picks a Winner

Hudson, pop. 25,000, has tabbed primary victors for 50 years

Jan 8, 08 5:53 PM CST
(Newser) - One New Hampshire town is in sync with the state and even the nation. Hudson, population 25,000, has picked the state's primary winners and national party nominees in the past 13 elections. "It's certainly been happening a long time for it to just be a coincidence," New... More »

MORE ABOUT:
Mitt Romney • Barack Obama • Hillary Clinton • Mike Huckabee • predictions • New Hampshire primary • Hudson • Election 2008

Things That Won't Shake
The Media World in 2008

BusinessWeek columnist takes a stab at '08 predictions

Dec 28, 07 7:36 PM CST
(Newser) - Overloaded with prediction lists, Business Week polishes the crystal ball and looks ahead to see what won't happen in the media world  in 2008.
  1. The writers won't win the current strike
  2. DreamWorks isn't going to leave Paramount after all
  3. Apple won't reinvent TV viewing
  4. "Juno" won't win
... More »

MORE ABOUT:
media • Google • Indiana Jones • Katie Couric • Apple • list • Pixar • Disney • Fox Business Network • DreamWorks • Paramount • predictions • Hollywood writers' strike • Juno • MGM

Housing Slump Dampens '08 Prospects

Economists cut growth forecast; still predict better rate than '07

Oct 10, 07 12:38 PM CDT
(Newser) - Economists cut projections for 2008 growth for a third consecutive month, Reuters reports, signaling the fallout from mortgage woes will be widespread and prolonged. A survey of 52 experts estimated the economy would expand 2.4% next year; they’d predicted 2.6% growth last month and 2.8% the... More »

MORE ABOUT:
subprime mortgages • consumer spending • predictions • job

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