GDP

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10 Numbers About the America Trump Will Lead

What Obama just handed over to No. 45

(Newser) - President Trump is now officially so , as the mantle was passed from President Obama Friday in Washington. NPR takes a look at a slew of stats that show the America Trump has been handed from his predecessor, which NPR notes is "far more solid in some ways (economics) and... More »

Economy Shrank 1% in Q1

It's the first time since 2011—but it's temporary: economists

(Newser) - For the first time since 2011, the US economy shrank in the first quarter—by 1%. Economists expected a 0.5% drop, but tell the AP that the Q1 numbers had to do with the harsh winter. Thanks to stronger manufacturing, faster job growth, and more retail spending, the fall... More »

Economy Grew 4.1% in Q3

It's the best mark since 2011

(Newser) - The US' GDP grew at a 4.1% annualized rate in the third quarter, its best showing since the last three months of 2011, the Commerce Department announced today. The number is revised upward from the Department's initial 3.6% estimate. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had been expecting that... More »

GDP Rises 1.7%; Why That's Horrible

Neil Irwin thinks we need to do better in this economy

(Newser) - The US economy grew 1.7% last quarter, the Commerce Department announced today , which is a lot better than the 1% analysts expected. "It is what markets and the journalists who write about them like to call a 'huge beat,'" writes Neil Irwin at the Washington ... More »

Conservatives' Favorite Debt Study Revealed as Fake

But Alex Pareene doubts they'll change their tune

(Newser) - For years, conservatives have been crowing about a study from Harvard economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff showing that countries with a debt-to-GDP ratio of more than 90% usually have negative GDP growth. It's been used to justify austerity pushes around the globe. But Reinhart and Rogoff have always... More »

Economy Shrinks for 1st Time Since 2009

Unexpected GDP drop comes as defense spending slumps

(Newser) - As "firsts" go, this is an unfortunate one: The US economy contracted in Q4, marking the first time it has done so since the recession ended. The AP reports that the biggest cut in defense spending in four decades, reduced exports, and sluggish growth in company stockpiles contributed to... More »

Q3's GDP Growth Could Be Rosiest of Year

Economists expect it will be revised upward, to 2.9%: Bloomberg

(Newser) - The US gross domestic product appears to have actually grown at a 2.9% annual rate between July and September, the fastest quarterly growth seen this year. That rate, via analysts at Goldman Sachs and Barclays, is higher than the Commerce Department's initial estimate of 2.0% —and... More »

Eurozone Falls Back Into Recession

GDP falls for the second quarter in a row

(Newser) - The eurozone officially has a double-dip recession on its hands. The 17-nation euro bloc fell into that second dip in the third quarter, with GDP falling 0.1%, the European Union's statistics office announced today. Since that marks its second straight quarter of decline—it was down 0.2%... More »

GDP Growth Revised Down to Anemic 1.3%

On the bright side, jobless claims fell

(Newser) - US economic growth was even worse than we thought in the April-June quarter, growing at a pace of just 1.3%, the Commerce Department announced today, down from its previous estimate of 1.7%. About half of that big revision reflected the punishing effect the summer's drought has had... More »

Economy Shows Signs of Life: GDP Jumps 2.5%

Meanwhile, new unemployment claims fell

(Newser) - The US’ total economic output shot up 2.5% from July through September, after two dismal quarters of rising just 0.4% and 1.3%, according to a new GDP report released today. Consumers amped up their spending on both durable goods and services, and business investments soared 16.3%—... More »

Next 12 Months: No Recession, but Slow Growth

Risk of recession at 26%; unemployment likely 9% at year's end

(Newser) - Despite a bombardment of bad news in recent weeks, economists don’t expect another recession over the next 12 months—but economic growth will barely be perceptible in that period, an AP poll of top economists finds. They expect high unemployment and weak consumer spending to dog the US into... More »

Brace Yourself for Even Worse 2nd Recession

Could devastate a still-ailing economy, writes Catherine Rampell

(Newser) - Economists say we could be headed for a second recession—and if they’re right, it’s poised to be even more devastating than the first, writes Catherine Rampell in the New York Times . That’s because the starting point for the second dip would be our current weak economy,... More »

Crash May Have Been Worse Than Thought

Nate Silver sees bad things in long-term GDP graph

(Newser) - Need a pick-me-up given today's depressing stock news ? Then be advised that Nate Silver's column in the New York Times is not for you. The stats guru plots GDP going back to 1877 and sees signs that our recent "economic crash was even worse than economists... More »

Recession Worse Than Thought; GDP Growth Weak

Economy grew just 1.3% over past three months

(Newser) - We already knew the Great Recession was the worst in decades, but in fact we were even worse off than we thought, new figures show. The economy shrank 5.1% over the course of the recession, from 2007 to 2009—1 percentage point worse than the earlier estimate of 4.... More »

Sorry, Our Economic ‘Recovery’ Is Tanking

Weak GDP growth is only the latest sign: Henry Blodget

(Newser) - The general consensus these days is that the economy is enjoying a steady if unspectacular recovery, writes Henry Blodget at Business Insider . After all, stocks and corporate profits are up and the unemployment rate is down. In a column headlined "Don't Mean To Be Rude, But The Economy... More »

Only 12% Chance We'll Return to Recession

Forecast fastest expansion in years on consumer spending

(Newser) - Economists are growing more optimistic about this year’s climate, predicting it will expand at its fastest pace since 2003, the Wall Street Journal reports. The paper polled 51 economists. Among the highlights:
  • Economists see only a 12% risk of returning to recession, compared to 22% in September.
  • In the
... More »

Economy Grew at 3.2% Rate in Q4

Consumer spending grew at fastest pace in 5 years

(Newser) - Spurred by consumer spending and a shrinking trade deficit, the economy grew at a 3.2% annual rate in the fourth quarter. That beats the previous quarter's 2.6% but falls short of analysts' expectations of 3.5%. Still, "a number above 3% should drive a stake through the... More »

Recession Ended Last June, Analysts Say

Tell that to the unemployed, who are likely to stay that way for years

(Newser) - Break out the champagne: The recession is over! In fact, it’s been over since June 2009, according to a new report from the National Bureau of Economic Research, an unofficial group that marks the start and end of such economic events. Things may not be great, the committee concluded,... More »

China Passes Japan as No. 2 (or Will Soon)

Not everyone agrees on economic milestone

(Newser) - The US is the world's No. 1 economy, but who's No. 2? It depends who you ask. In the English-language version of the People's Daily Online , China declares that its newly revised GDP puts it in second place over Japan. But a slew of other observers, including the Wall Street ... More »

G20 Leaders Head Home, Vowing to Cut Deficits

Economic powers set goals for reducing public debt

(Newser) - The leaders of the Group of 20 nations wrapped up their 2-day summit today in Toronto, striking an agreement to reduce deficits over the next 3 to 6 years without endangering the global economic rebound. The major economic powers vowed to cut their deficits in half by 2013 and "... More »

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