fivethirtyeight.com News

Congress, Like the US, Is Older
Congress, Like the US, Is Older
Apr 3, 2023 4:18 PM CDT
The Odds Are in Trump's Favor
The Odds Are in Trump's Favor
OPINION
Nov 16, 2022 4:17 PM CST
Nate Silver Assesses Three Wildcards Before Election Day
Nate Silver: Three Wildcards
Will Have Big Role on Tuesday
OPINION
Nov 7, 2022 2:09 PM CST
One of Stacey Abrams' Big Problems: Male Voters
A Look at Why
Stacey Abrams Is Trailing
the rundown
Nov 1, 2022 8:35 AM CDT
2022 Has Seen 'Way Fewer' Polls Than Past Years
2022 a Great Year
for Those Who
Dislike Political Polls
Oct 25, 2022 4:36 PM CDT
Nate Silver: Things Are Looking Up for Democrats
Nate Silver: Things Are
Looking Up for Democrats
analysis
Aug 6, 2022 11:30 AM CDT
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Georgia Is Temporarily the 'Center of the Political Universe'
Georgia Is
Temporarily the
'Center of the
Political Universe'
the rundown
Nov 11, 2020 1:00 PM CST
Loss of One State Could Make Biden an 'Underdog'
Loss of One State Could
Make Biden an 'Underdog'
the rundown
Nov 2, 2020 11:19 AM CST
A 50-50 Senate Split Is as Good a Bet as Any: Forecast
A 50-50 Senate Split Is as
Good a Bet as Any: Forecast
Sep 18, 2020 5:35 PM CDT
Nate Silver Thinks Predictions on Biden Are Too Optimistic
Nate Silver Thinks Predictions
on Biden Too Optimistic
OPINION
Aug 13, 2020 9:05 AM CDT
Biden Leads in Polls, but a Key Stat Looms
Yes, Biden
Leads Polls,
but Another
Stat Is Key
Jun 18, 2020 11:52 AM CDT
New Analysis Doesn't Bode Well for Bernie Sanders
New Analysis Is
Good News for Joe Biden
OPINION
Mar 6, 2020 3:47 PM CST
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These New Polls Are Decent News for Biden
2020 Paradox: Biden Trends
Down in Polls, but Odds Go Up
analysis
Feb 18, 2020 1:31 PM CST
Last 11 Democrats in 2020 Race Are Straight White Men
Democrats Had a Diverse Field,
Then the White-Man Surge
OPINION
May 16, 2019 1:43 PM CDT
Mattis' Exit Is Way Different Than All the Rest
Why Mattis' Resignation 'Puts
Trump's Presidency in Peril'
OPINION
Dec 21, 2018 6:57 AM CST
Governors' Races: 2 Big Ones Dominate
Governors' Races:
Gillum Concedes in Florida
election 2018
Nov 7, 2018 1:31 AM CST
Cindy McCain in Husband's Seat? It's Unlikely
The Political Calculus in
Picking McCain's Successor
OPINION
Aug 27, 2018 1:18 PM CDT
For First Time in 46 Years, American Vies for Chess Title
Win Brings 46-Year
First for US Chess
Mar 29, 2018 11:39 AM CDT
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FedEx Employee Discovers New Longest Prime Number
After 14 Years, FedEx Employee
Makes Major Math Discovery
Jan 6, 2018 12:34 PM CST
Moore Again Demands Accuser Release Her Yearbook
Moore Again
Demands Accuser
Release Her Yearbook
Nov 18, 2017 1:44 PM CST
North Korea's Nukes May Be the Wrong Thing to Fear
Afraid of North Korea's Nukes?
It May Have Something Worse
Nov 12, 2017 12:15 PM CST
Data Wonk Holes Up With 1K Fortune Cookies for Science
Those Fortune Cookie 'Lucky
Numbers'? They're Not Unlucky
Aug 4, 2017 12:49 PM CDT
4 GOP Senators Won't Vote for Health Care Bill—Yet
Here's What's in the Senate
GOP's Health Care Bill
The Rundown
Jun 22, 2017 3:04 PM CDT
Le Pen-Macron Isn't Another Trump-Clinton: Pollsters
Le Pen-Macron Isn't Another
Trump-Clinton: Pollsters
May 6, 2017 11:04 AM CDT
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Senate Control Is a Coin Toss: 6 Key Races to Watch
Senate Control Is a Coin Toss:
6 Key Races to Watch
election 2016
Nov 7, 2016 10:01 AM CST
Think Trump Can't Win? Think Again
Think Trump Can't
Win? Think Again
OPINION
Nov 3, 2016 1:03 AM CDT
This Man Could Be President With Just 6 Electoral Votes
This Man Could Be President 
With Just 6 Electoral Votes
IN CASE YOU MISSED IT
Oct 16, 2016 4:28 PM CDT
6-Second Loop From 1969 Is Most Sampled Track Ever
6-Second Loop From 1969
Is Most Sampled Track Ever
Oct 9, 2016 1:53 PM CDT
Florida Shaping Up to Be Key Battleground
Here's Why
Trump Needs
to Win
in Florida
OPINION
Oct 4, 2016 1:57 PM CDT
Our Olive Oil Is Often Rancid, and We Don't Even Know it
 Our Olive Oil Is Often Rancid, 
 and We Don't Even Know It 
Jul 28, 2016 2:40 PM CDT
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Silverman to Bernie Diehards: 'You're Being Ridiculous'

 Silverman to 
 Bernie Diehards: 
 'You're Being 
 Ridiculous' 
democratic convention
Jul 25, 2016 9:04 PM CDT
Most Blacks: OJ Was Guilty
 Most Blacks Change 
 Their Mind About OJ 
new poll
Jun 13, 2016 6:10 PM CDT
Meet the Guy With Surprising Poll Numbers Against Clinton, Trump
 Meet the Guy With 
 Surprising Poll 
 Numbers Against 
 Clinton, Trump 
May 25, 2016 3:03 PM CDT
Bernie Could Nab 'Yuge' Win in W. Virginia
 Bernie Could 
 Nab 'Yuge' Win 
 in W. Virginia 
May 10, 2016 10:03 AM CDT
CEO's 'Saddest' Tweets Mark Twitter's 10th Birthday




 CEO's 'Saddest' 
 Tweets Mark 
 Twitter's 10th 
 Birthday 
THE RUNDOWN
Mar 21, 2016 1:48 PM CDT
Man Finds Out Being The Rock Isn't as Easy as He Makes It Look
 Man Finds Out 
 Being The Rock 
 Isn't as Easy as 
 He Makes It Look 
Mar 5, 2016 3:30 PM CST
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Is the World's Most Prolific Crossword Maker a Plagiarist?
 Is the World's Most Prolific 
 Crossword Maker a Plagiarist? 
Mar 5, 2016 9:25 AM CST
Who's Done the Best, Worst After Winning an Oscar?
Who's Done the Best, Worst After Winning an Oscar?
analysis
Feb 17, 2016 6:35 PM CST
Nate Silver: GOP Has 4 Roads Out of Iowa
Nate Silver: GOP Has
4 Roads Out of Iowa
OPINION
Feb 1, 2016 2:40 AM CST
Mystery Behind 'Biggest' Dinosaur: a Missing Bone
 Mystery Behind 'Biggest' 
 Dinosaur: a Missing Bone 
Jan 17, 2016 7:58 AM CST
Don't Believe Nutrition Studies
 Don't Believe Nutrition Studies 
OPINION
Jan 6, 2016 11:16 AM CST
Hurricane Joaquin Is Stumping Forecasts
 Hurricane Joaquin 
 Is Stumping Forecasts 
Oct 1, 2015 1:25 PM CDT
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Why Bernie Sanders' Surge Is Going to Fizzle
Why Bernie Sanders' Surge
Is Going to Fizzle
OPINION
Jul 9, 2015 6:37 PM CDT
Nate Silver: Our Political Polls Are in Lousy Shape
Nate Silver: Our Political
Polls Are in Lousy Shape
OPINION
May 8, 2015 12:32 PM CDT
'Song of the Summer' Is Probably Already Out

 'Song of 
 the Summer' 
 Is Probably 
 Already Out 
analysis
May 5, 2015 5:30 PM CDT
Lindsey Graham's Not Alone: Lots of People Don't Email
Lindsey Graham's Not Alone: Lots of People Don't Email
Mar 9, 2015 3:27 PM CDT
How Tightie Whities Kill Sperm Counts
 How Tightie Whities 
 Kill Sperm Counts 
Jan 27, 2015 2:53 PM CST
Most Common Name in the US Is Identified
 Most Common Name 
 in the US Is Identified 
in case you missed it
Nov 29, 2014 4:07 PM CST
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