Obama Leads by 4%, Lags by 3%, or Both: Polls
And pollster calls Nate Silver 'a thin and effeminate man'
By Neal Colgrass, Newser Staff
Posted Oct 28, 2012 3:00 PM CDT
President Barack Obama speaks during a visit to the National Response Coordination Center at the Federal Emergency Management Agency hHeadquarters in Washington, on Sunday, Oct. 28, 2012.   (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

(Newser) – Margin of error, here we come: President Obama is up 49% to 46% over Mitt Romney among likely voters in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, a 1-point boost from yesterday's results. But should that leave you too elated or upset:

  • The Rasmussen Reports' daily poll has Romney up by 50% to 47%, and says he leads among unaffiliated voters by 11 points.

  • Gallup has Obama up by 48% to 47% among registered voters, and Romney up by 50% to 46% among likely voters, in a "seven-day rolling average" of its daily poll.
  • Breaking down a few state polls at his Five Thirty-Eight blog, Nate Silver forecasts Obama winning Ohio by 2 points despite having lost ground there. Silver adds that Obama will take Minnesota by 6.8% and has a 59.8% chance of winning Virginia.
  • Less scientifically, pollster Dean Chambers has denounced Silver as "a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice." See Chambers' full piece at Examiner.com.

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milo7453
Oct 29, 2012 4:26 AM CDT
Public Policy Polling poll showed that Mitt Romney's favorable rating is at 49 to 45 percent. Romney leads the independent voters by an astounding 16 percent. Among Indipendent group, President Obama's approval is at 33 percent and disapproval 60 percent. The poll showed Mitt Romney's favorability is 53-37 percent. The Public Policy Polling showed that President Obama has been losing independents voters by double digits for the past five days of PPP tracking, and his approval is only 33 percent among independent voters.
milo7453
Oct 29, 2012 12:40 AM CDT
There is only one number that matters in the election of 2012. 40%...If Obama gets that amount of White voters in 2012...He wins! If he doesn't? Meet President Romney!
sfreeman
Oct 29, 2012 12:18 AM CDT
Insulting the polster's voice and physical stature certainly helps to establish the lack of credibility in his statistics.That's like saying Obama is a bad president because he's black. Oh, wait...