Obama Leads by 4%, Lags by 3%, or Both: Polls

And pollster calls Nate Silver 'a thin and effeminate man'

By Neal Colgrass,  Newser Staff

Posted Oct 28, 2012 3:00 PM CDT

(Newser) – Margin of error, here we come: President Obama is up 49% to 46% over Mitt Romney among likely voters in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, a 1-point boost from yesterday's results. But should that leave you too elated or upset:

  • The Rasmussen Reports' daily poll has Romney up by 50% to 47%, and says he leads among unaffiliated voters by 11 points.

  • Gallup has Obama up by 48% to 47% among registered voters, and Romney up by 50% to 46% among likely voters, in a "seven-day rolling average" of its daily poll.
  • Breaking down a few state polls at his Five Thirty-Eight blog, Nate Silver forecasts Obama winning Ohio by 2 points despite having lost ground there. Silver adds that Obama will take Minnesota by 6.8% and has a 59.8% chance of winning Virginia.
  • Less scientifically, pollster Dean Chambers has denounced Silver as "a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice." See Chambers' full piece at Examiner.com.

President Barack Obama speaks during a visit to the National Response Coordination Center at the Federal Emergency Management Agency hHeadquarters in Washington, on Sunday, Oct. 28, 2012.
President Barack Obama speaks during a visit to the National Response Coordination Center at the Federal Emergency Management Agency hHeadquarters in Washington, on Sunday, Oct. 28, 2012.   (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
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