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In Pa., Clinton Has a Math Problem

Only 'blowout numbers' can help case against Obama, experts say

By Laurel Jorgensen,  Newser Staff

Posted Apr 21, 2008 2:17 PM CDT

(Newser) – Hillary Clinton must rack up unprecedented numbers in tomorrow’s Pennsylvania primary to challenge Barack Obama’s 800,000-vote lead in the national popular vote, Bloomberg reports. She needs a 25-point margin plus record turnout—2 million in a state where only 800,000 went to the polls in 2004—to have any hope of closing the gap and arguing that she's better positioned to take on John McCain.

"The wheels would have to come off the Obama bus, and the engine would have to blow," says an unaffiliated Democratic consultant.

Hillary Clinton applauds the remarks of Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell before addressing supporters at a rally in West Lawn, Pa., Saturday, April 19, 2008.
Hillary Clinton applauds the remarks of Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell before addressing supporters at a rally in West Lawn, Pa., Saturday, April 19, 2008.   (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., arrives to greet diners at Glider Diner in Scranton Pa., Monday, April 21, 2008.
Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., arrives to greet diners at Glider Diner in Scranton Pa., Monday, April 21, 2008.   (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)
Hillary Clinton campaigns at Penn State in State College, Pa., Sunday, April 20, 2008.
Hillary Clinton campaigns at Penn State in State College, Pa., Sunday, April 20, 2008.   (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., left, listens to Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell as they take the stage during a campaign stop at Greater Johnstown High School in Johnstown, Pa., Sunday, April 20, 2008.
Democratic presidential hopeful, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., left, listens to Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell as they take the stage during a campaign stop at Greater Johnstown High School in Johnstown,...   (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
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