John McCain, Here's How You Can Still Win This Election
Forget about Pa.; focus on Virginia, Florida, FiveThirtyEight says
By Wesley Oliver,  Newser Staff
Posted Oct 26, 2008 12:11 PM CDT
John McCain should gamble on winning Florida and "hope a national surge of some kind" brings the state back into his column.   (AP Photo/David Adame)
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(Newser) – John McCain, the polls aren’t looking good and your running mate is being accused of going “rogue,” but Nate Silver has some advice on how you can still eke out a victory. “No razzle-dazzle here,” Silver writes for FiveThirtyEight, “McCain simply has to pick which states he and Sarah Palin can do the most good in.” To wit:

  • It’s time to throw in the towel in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Iowa.
  • In New Hampshire and New Mexico, stay on the offense.
  • But mount “a reasonably vigorous” defensive strategy in Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, Ohio, and North Carolina.
  • Roll the dice in Florida, Missouri, and Indiana and “hope a national surge of some kind” makes those states red again.