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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 25, 2009
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 OPINION 
23

Obama Success Could Hinge on Address

Big speech to Congress next week likely to make or break health care reform

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(Newser) – Barack Obama's address to a  joint session of Congress next Wednesday could well be the biggest moment of his presidency, Nate Silver writes in FiveThirtyEight. Two-thirds of voters are still confused about the president's plans for health care, and this speech will be a make-or-break chance to give them some clarity and help get genuine reforms passed, he notes.

The bounce Bill Clinton got from his big health- care speech 16 years ago soon evaporated, but Obama is giving his toward the end of the process rather than at the beginning, Silver notes. The bill has already made it past most of the hurdles in Congress, so if Obama can get even a temporary boost from his speech it could help nudge the bill over the the finish line to win what might become his most important legacy, Silver notes.

President Barack Obama listens to a question during the Organizing for America National Health Care Forum at the Democratic National Committee headquarters in Washington last month.
President Barack Obama listens to a question during the Organizing for America National Health Care Forum at the Democratic National Committee headquarters in Washington last month.   (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
Apart from State of the Union addresses and the traditional first speech from a new president, Obama's will be the first presidential address to a joint session of Congress since just after 9/11.
Apart from State of the Union addresses and the traditional first speech from a new president, Obama's will be the first presidential address to a joint session of Congress since just after 9/11.   (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
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If he strikes out, he strikes out—and it's probably finito for substantive health care reform. But at long last he'll be swinging for the fences, and this is a moment that should play to nearly all of Obama's strengths.
- Nate Silver

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23 comments
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emptycalm
Sep 3, 09 2:05 AM CDT
If the bill doesn't get rid of the health insurance industry and give us all free health care then don't waste the money. Reply
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+3
IN RESPONSE:
cornelison
Sep 3, 09 3:07 AM CDT
Absolutely. Americans have waited more than 2 generations for a govt.-run health care plan. All you'll have to do is show your card. There's no massive amount of paperwork.
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+3
IN RESPONSE:
bsmenot
Sep 3, 09 6:39 AM CDT
Wrong cornellson...we want total healthcare coverage for every American. I live here. I talk to AMERICANS face to face everyday. The majority of Americans don't want it government run. And yes, anything our government handles does involve massive amounts of paperwork, is slow to get things done, and costs too much. I really wish you would stay out of this debate and quit telling us Americans what we want!
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-6
IN RESPONSE:
odowd80
Sep 3, 09 7:10 AM CDT
bsmenot: Please explain how you get "total healthcare coverage for every American" without govt intervention. The private sector has had decades to offer insurance that's affordable and they've failed.
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+4
IN RESPONSE:
bsmenot
Sep 3, 09 7:18 AM CDT
@odowd80...I will be happy to run some ideas by you. Right now I have to bath my son and get him in his wheelchair before work. I will have that post for you later tonight or tommorrow.
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-2
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