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Drier Atmosphere Slows Global Warming

10% less vapor in stratosphere kept temperature increase down in 2000s

By Harry Kimball,  Newser Staff

Posted Jan 29, 2010 1:17 PM CST

(Newser) – A decrease in water vapor in the stratosphere may be the reason global warming hasn't increased as fast as expected over the last 10 years. The planet warmed .18 degree from 2000 to 2009, below the forecast .25 degree. A 10% drop in stratospheric water vapor “very likely made substantial contributions to the flattening of the global warming trend,” says the lead author of a new study in Science.

“We call this the 10/10/10 paper,” Susan Solomon tells USA Today. “Ten miles above your head, there is 10% less water vapor than there was 10 years ago.” The reason for the decline is unclear. Still, Solomon, who was a key player in establishing that climate change exists, says the findings don’t refute the theory. “This doesn't mean there isn't global warming. There's no significant debate that it is warmer now than it was 100 years ago.”

Water vapors rise into the air from some of the nine cooling towers at Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station near Wintersburg, Ariz.
Water vapors rise into the air from some of the nine cooling towers at Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station near Wintersburg, Ariz.   (AP Photo)
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If the water changes are due to the specific way the sea-surface temperature pattern looks right now, then it may well not be linked to the overall warming. It could just be a source of variability from one decade to another.
- Susan Solomon, NOAA

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COMMENTS
Showing 3 of 33 comments
aof
Feb 2, 2010 10:56 AM CST
No where we disagree is you seem to think science based on modeling is not science based on a preconceived notion.
freethemall
Jan 31, 2010 1:47 AM CST
So we agree that true scientist do not have an agenda; what we disagree about is which are the phony scientist. . You say it those who comprise the National Academy of Sciences. I say that it's those who work for the fossil fuel industry.
Assassin
Jan 30, 2010 8:40 AM CST
Reason number 101 & counting on why our lies are really the TRUTH. Even though we broke the LAW to FAKE the "EVIDENCE" - We are telling you the TRUTH. We can't Help it if We keep finding NEW & IMPROVED LIES to show you how SINCERE WE are about telling you whatever LIES that are Actually the TRUTH. BIG BROTHER = Black is White, Up is Down, Left is Right & Day is NIght - it all makes sense now - Gee Whiz!

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