swing states

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Clinton Buys $63K in Weather Channel Ads Pre-Hurricane

This could be a smart buy in battleground state of Florida—or it could backfire

(Newser) - One wouldn't think buying commercial spots on the Weather Channel would be the obvious media choice for presidential candidates vying for votes, but with Hurricane Matthew barreling toward the battleground states of Florida and North Carolina just a month before Election Day, that's exactly what Hillary Clinton's... More »

Polls: Trump, Clinton Basically Tied in 2 Swing States

Hillary has 1-point lead in Pennsylvania, Trump in Colorado

(Newser) - New CNN/ORC polls released Monday have Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump practically in a dead heat in two battleground states, with just one point separating the two, CNN reports. In Colorado , Trump is the one in the lead, nabbing 42% of likely voters to Clinton's 41% (Libertarian Gary Johnson... More »

Pennsylvania: Swing State No More?

'It hasn't been for some time,' Democrat party chairman says

(Newser) - Mitt Romney and his allies spent $10 million in Pennsylvania in the last week of the campaign, but it wound up going blue—just like it has in every presidential election since 1992. Obama won by much less than he did in 2008, but the margin was still a not-terribly-close... More »

Rove Disputes Fox's Call, Triggers 'Bizarre' Moment

He warned network against 'intruding in process'

(Newser) - Fox News contributor Karl Rove caused a kerfuffle by disputing his own network's decision to call Ohio for President Obama. He called the decision "premature," saying "we have got to be careful about calling things when we have like 991 votes separating the two candidates and... More »

How to Follow Ohio's Results

By tonight, we might know who's ahead, but not who's won

(Newser) - All eyes are on the swing state of Ohio tonight, but when polls close at 7:30pm, there's a good chance we won't know anything for certain. For those following at home, here's what we'll know, when we'll know it, and what factors could make... More »

An 11th-Hour Look at Swing States

What's happening in Ohio, Florida, and more

(Newser) - If you're tired of hearing the phrase "swing states," take heart: the end is near (or at least until the post-race analysis begins). Until then, an 11th-hour look at what's happening in several battleground states:
  • Ohio: Obama got heckled in Cincinnati yesterday by a man whose
... More »

Obama, Romney Are Basically Tied*

*But Obama still looks more likely to win the electoral college

(Newser) - If this year's presidential election was determined by the popular vote, it would be anybody's game. A new Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll today has President Obama leading by 1 point—essentially a statistical tie—while Investors Business Daily 's poll has Obama up by 2.3 points. But... More »

Swing States Poll: Romney's a Better Leader

Debate gives Mitt a boost, but most voters had already decided

(Newser) - Mitt Romney's debate performance is helping him in the race's key battlegrounds—but only by inches. A new New York Times /Quinnipiac/CBS poll found essentially no movement in Colorado, Virginia, or Wisconsin, with Obama's debate loss apparently being offset by strong unemployment numbers. But there is good... More »

Obama Opens 10-Point Lead in Ohio, 9 in Florida

Romney camp says polls are 'skewed' path to victory 'wide open'

(Newser) - President Obama and Mitt Romney are both campaigning in Ohio today, but a new poll indicates that the swing state may have already swung. Obama's lead there has widened to 10 points, according to a New York Times/Quinnipiac/CBS News poll released today. But Romney's camp is still optimistic;... More »

Poll: Obama Leading in Key Swing States

Romney trailing in Florida, Ohio, Virginia

(Newser) - President Obama has a healthy lead in the three swing states most vital to victory, according to the latest Wall Street Journal /NBC/Marist poll. Mitt Romney is trailing by five points in Florida and Virginia and by seven points in Ohio, the poll found. Victory for Mitt Romney will be... More »

Obama Pulls Ahead

Obama gains momentum in swing states, makes tough road for Romney

(Newser) - President Obama's DNC acceptance speech may have inspired more yawns than fervor , but the latest polls are showing him a clear advantage, especially in several key swing states, reports Politico . Republican officials admit that their in-house tracking polls show Obama with a high-single-digits lead in crucial battleground state Ohio.... More »

In Appeal to Working Class, Romney's Tone Sharpens

Campaign thinks it not enough to criticize Obama's economics

(Newser) - Still narrowly trailing President Obama, Mitt Romney is hardening his message in an attempt to nail down the white working-class vote, reports the New York Times . Now concluding that it is not enough to campaign on Obama's economic failings, Romney and his advisers are trying to add edgy overtones... More »

Romney Win a Sure Thing: Election Model

Model based on economy would have correctly predicted last 8 elections

(Newser) - Forget polls. If you want to know who's going to win in November, it's the economy, stupid. A new prediction model based on state-by-state economic data predicts that Mitt Romney will prevail with 320 electoral votes, snapping up nearly all of the key swing states, to President Obama'... More »

Swing States: Romney Doesn't Care About Us

Voters back Obama, and really back his plan to hike taxes on top 2%

(Newser) - Barack Obama is leading in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida, in part because voters don't think Mitt Romney is looking out for them, according to a new Quinnipiac / New York Times /CBS News poll. Both candidates polled fairly evenly when it came to how voters thought they'd handle... More »

Poll: Obama Clinging to Lead

Pessimistic voters not enthused about either candidate

(Newser) - President Obama is still on course to narrowly win a second term despite recent setbacks, according to the latest Wall Street Journal /NBC poll. Obama is ahead of Mitt Romney 47% to 44%, according to the poll. The survey also finds the president further ahead in a dozen swing states... More »

Obama Ads Blast Romney as 'Outsourcer-in-Chief'

Campaign capitalizes on Washington Post article

(Newser) - The Obama campaign is once again attacking Mitt Romney's past at Bain Capital, this time capitalizing on a Washington Post article on the firm's propensity for sending jobs overseas. "Does Virginia really want an outsourcer-in-chief in the White House?" asks one of three new ads the campaign... More »

Arizona Ruling a Quagmire for Romney, GOP

Hispanic vote needed for swing states, but GOP loves tough policies

(Newser) - With Republicans and Mitt Romney struggling to get Hispanic votes, yesterday's Supreme Court ruling mostly striking down Arizona's tough immigration law has just muddied an already difficult dilemma, reports the Washington Post . Getting tough on illegal immigration fires up the GOP base, but Romney needs upward of 40%... More »

Introducing 'Elastic States'

They're not swing states, but they have a lot of swing voters: Nate Silver

(Newser) - You already know all about swing states; today in the New York Times , Nate Silver introduces another important factor in the 2012 election: elastic states, which can produce difficult-to-predict results. Swing states, he explains, sometimes have very few swing voters (see North Carolina, where likely Democratic voters are fairly evenly... More »

Team Romney's Game Plan: Win These 6 States

On the to-do list: Winning back Indiana, North Carolina, and Virginia

(Newser) - While Team Romney certainly isn't expecting a landslide win for its man this November, the Republican's campaign staffers see a clear—but narrow—path to 270 electoral votes and victory, the Washington Post finds. The campaign plans to focus on winning back three GOP-leaning states Obama took in... More »

2012 Election Hinges on 4 States

Maybe five if Florida stays in play

(Newser) - Odds are, the state you live in doesn't matter in the 2012 election, strategically speaking. Democratic and Republican strategists tend to agree that the entire race will come down to just four or five swing states, the LA Times reports: Colorado, Nevada, Ohio, Virginia, and maybe Florida. Polls show... More »

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