predictions

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Obama&#39;s the Underdog
 Obama Is the Underdog 
Nate Silver
Nov 3, 2011 9:40 AM CDT

Obama Is the Underdog

If economy falters, and Mitt Romney is the nominee, watch out

(Newser) - It’s too early for Nate Silver’s usual granular state-by-state election calculus, so the New York Times political prediction guru is looking at the big picture. Obama faces three main challenges: voters think he’s not up to the task, they’re terrified of the economy, and they’re...

Always-Right Formula Says Obama Wins 2nd Term

And a look at the 13 'keys' to success

(Newser) - Looks like President Obama can stop worrying about the 2012 election—it’s a done deal, according to American University professor Allan Lichtman. “Even if I am being conservative I don’t see how Obama can lose,” he tells US News . Lichtman has a simple system for determining...

Endless Oscar Predictions Ruining the Show

Film critic: The problem is that they're usually right

(Newser) - As the film critic for the Los Angeles Times , Kenneth Turan loves the Oscars. But he hates the nonstop barrage of predictions that bombard us ahead of the show. His beef "is not that the pundits are often wrong but, frankly, that they are often right," he says....

Only 12% Chance We'll Return to Recession
Only 12% Chance We'll Return to Recession
say economists
Feb 14, 2011 8:39 AM CST

Only 12% Chance We'll Return to Recession

Forecast fastest expansion in years on consumer spending

(Newser) - Economists are growing more optimistic about this year’s climate, predicting it will expand at its fastest pace since 2003, the Wall Street Journal reports. The paper polled 51 economists. Among the highlights:
  • Economists see only a 12% risk of returning to recession, compared to 22% in September.
  • In the
...

January 17 Will Be Saddest Day of 2011
January 17 Will Be
Saddest Day of 2011
IN CASE YOU MISSED IT
Jan 8, 2011 8:26 AM CST

January 17 Will Be Saddest Day of 2011

So say the social researchers

(Newser) - Get the tissues handy: The saddest day of the year approaches. One researcher pegs that as Jan. 17 for a host of reasons—the presents are gone, the bills are due, the resolutions are busted, it's cold ... you get the picture. The New York Post rounds up that and other...

Your Cell Phone Will Project Holograms in 5 Years

... assuming IBM's scientists are correct

(Newser) - Mobile phones will be able to project 3D holograms in 2015, allowing people to video-chat with virtual images of their friends, say scientists at IBM. In their annual list of tech predictions, the scientists also say:
  • Today's lithium-ion batteries will be replaced with those that run on air and last
...

These Predictions for 2010 Were Way Off

They said iPads wouldn't make it, but Google Wave would

(Newser) - The media gave us plenty of predictions for 2010, and plenty of them simply didn’t come true. AOL News lists some of the most glaring:
  • Job growth will begin again. Newsweek predicted it unemployment would fall “below 9%,” but it was never less than 9.5%.
  • Republicans
...

The Worst Prognostications of 2010
Worst Prognostications
of the Year
2010 in review
Dec 18, 2010 4:05 PM CST

Worst Prognostications of the Year

Joe Biden and Meghan McCain make the list

(Newser) - A roundup of the year's worst predictions from Joshua Keating at Foreign Policy .
  • Recovery summer: Joe Biden's statement in June that "more people are going to be put to work this summer" puts him atop Keating's list of of know-it-all pundits and pols who ended up with egg on
...

No Way to Predict Size of GOP Gains
 No Way to 
 Predict Size of 
 GOP Gains 
nate silver
Nov 1, 2010 12:35 PM CDT

No Way to Predict Size of GOP Gains

'Strange election' offers wide range of outcomes, says Nate Silver

(Newser) - Polls are showing a huge range of possible results for tomorrow, with generic ballots suggesting anything from a 15-point Republican lead to a 3-point Democratic lead. “The fact is that there’s not really any way to say who’s right,” writes FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver in...

11 Simpsons Predictions That Came True

Yucky soy snacks? Check. Crazy celebrities? Got 'em.

(Newser) - During its sixth season in 1995, The Simpsons gazed into the future—specifically, 2010—in the “Lisa’s Wedding” episode. Writing at 11points.com , Sam Greenspan lists 11 things about this year the episode got right:
  • Soy snacks: Not only did the show predict their popularity, it also “
...

'The Internet Will Fail' -- Bold Predictions That Completely Bombed

 Fearless Predictions 
 That Were Utterly Wrong 
BEATLES=NEVER GONNA MAKE IT
Apr 25, 2010 8:24 AM CDT

Fearless Predictions That Were Utterly Wrong

Also, that iPhone is never going anywhere

(Newser) - Remember the one about the guy who said the Internet will fail ? Ha, ha, ha. Well, while we're waiting 15 years later for that daring prediction to come true, Asylum runs through a few other notables that fell flat:
  • 'Portable computers:' "The portable computer is a dream
...

Autistic Teen's NCAA Bracket Perfect Thus Far
 Autistic Teen's NCAA 
 Bracket Perfect Thus Far 
1 in 13,460,000
Mar 24, 2010 12:56 PM CDT

Autistic Teen's NCAA Bracket Perfect Thus Far

Alex Hermann's 48 game streak carries 1 in 13,460,000 odds

(Newser) - Alex Hermann is 17 years old, autistic, and has picked the correct winner of every one of the 48 games of the NCAA men’s basketball tournament played so far—including three far-fetched upsets. An online odds-maker puts the likelihood of Hermann’s feat at 1 in 13,460,000,...

Best Fortune Cookie Fortunes
 Best Fortune Cookie Fortunes 
Feb 21, 2010 7:35 AM CST

Best Fortune Cookie Fortunes

Is your family 'young, gifted and attractive?' Who knows!

(Newser) - Fortune cookie fortunes can be insightful, obscure, and oftentimes both. Slashfood has compiled a list of the 10 best its editors have come across:
  1. "You are magnetic in your bearing."
  2. So, naturally, "The night life is for you."
  3. But remember to "Face facts with dignity.
...

Brownie's Pick? Um, Not New Orleans
 Brownie's Pick? 
 Um, Not 
 New Orleans 


SUPER BOWL XLIV
Feb 6, 2010 5:16 AM CST

Brownie's Pick? Um, Not New Orleans

Michael 'heckuva job, Brownie' Brown says he just follows Colts

(Newser) - The Indianapolis Colts have perhaps taken over as public enemy No. 1 in New Orleans ahead of tomorrow’s Super Bowl matchup with the Saints, but that’s not stopping Michael Brown from trying to get the crown back. Brown, whose handling of Hurricane Katrina as head of the FEMA...

Up in the Air Will Edge Hurt Locker
 Up in the Air Will 
 Edge Hurt Locker 
oscar predictions
Dec 26, 2009 1:47 PM CST

Up in the Air Will Edge Hurt Locker

But Kathryn Bigelow will win best director for 'Locker'

(Newser) - Jay A. Fernandez has crunched the votes from more than 20 critics' groups but finds that predicting this year's Oscar winner for best picture remains a "head-scratcher." The Hurt Locker has gotten the most votes for its tense tale of an elite group of soldiers who disarm bombs,...

Q3 GDP Growth More Like 2.8% Than 3.5%

 Q3 GDP Growth More 
 Like 2.8% Than 3.5% 
FUZZY MATH DEPT
Nov 24, 2009 9:29 AM CST

Q3 GDP Growth More Like 2.8% Than 3.5%

Spending and home prices are up, but not enough to help jobs

(Newser) - The government’s optimistic reading of GDP growth in the 3rd quarter was distorted by a pair of rose-tinted glasses, it now says. The Commerce Department has revised its estimate down to 2.8% from 3.5% on evidence that stimulus programs like Cash for Clunkers and the homebuyers' tax...

Recession Will Cost More Jobs, End 'Before Long': Fed

(Newser) - The Federal Reserve is confident the general economy is turning around but still pessimistic on the jobs part, the Wall Street Journal reports. In June meeting minutes issued today, those gathered agreed that data since April “indicated that the economic contraction was slowing and that the decline in activity...

Jacko Knew He'd Die Young: Lisa Marie

Told former wife years ago he feared he'd end up like Elvis

(Newser) - The King of Pop was sure he would follow the King to an early grave, blogs Lisa Marie Presley. During his brief marriage to Elvis's daughter, Michael Jackson "stated with an almost calm certainty, 'I am afraid that I am going to end up like him.'" Jackson wasn't...

NOAA Predicts Average Hurricane Season

(Newser) - The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts the 2009 hurricane season will see nine to 14 tropical storms, of which four to seven will develop into full-fledged hurricanes, the Tampa Tribune reports. As many as three could become Category 3 storms, with winds above 111 mph. The prediction jibes with...

Cramer Ain't That Bad a Stock Picker, Actually

(Newser) - Jon Stewart, take note: Jim Cramer is not that bad at picking stocks, the New York Times reports. A study of Cramer’s televised market advice shows that the former hedge fund manager beat the market in 2005-07. The raw numbers from the fictional “Cramer portfolio” outperformed the S&...

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