Americans are quietly inflating their retirement dreams. A new Northwestern Mutual survey finds the typical American now believes they'll need $1.46 million to retire comfortably, up from $1.26 million last year—a jump the firm links to stubborn inflation and anxiety about job security in an age of artificial intelligence, per CBS News. The poll of 4,375 people was conducted in January, before the war in Iran and resulting fuel price pressures, which could further sharpen those worries. Meanwhile, one-third of respondents said they're concerned AI could threaten their jobs, a fear that may be pushing their "magic number" higher.
The trouble: actual savings fall far short. Only 5% of Americans with retirement accounts have at least $1 million saved, and just 9% have $500,000, per NerdWallet. For those aged 55 to 64, the median retirement balance is $185,000. Dayforce reports workers also dialed back 401(k) contributions last year, to 8.9% of pay from 9.2%, per CBS. Northwestern Mutual estimates $1.46 million would yield about $4,800 a month in retirement, but hardship withdrawals for emergencies are at record levels, according to financial services firm Vanguard—eroding the very cushion people say they know they'll need. Half of Generation Xers now doubt they'll be financially prepared for retirement, per USA Today.