A third of voters still haven’t settled on their choices for Election Day, an AP-GfK poll finds. Sounds like good news for the Dems—but in fact, 45% of “persuadable” undecideds are leaning Republican, while only 38% are leaning Democrat, giving the GOP the same 7-point margin it has with decided voters. And the persuadable—who consider themselves Republican by modest margins—have a lower opinion of congressional Dems than those who have made up their minds.
They’re also more tempted to dump their current representative, and more pessimistic about the economy, the AP notes. Those who haven’t picked their candidate are “going to decide who controls the House, and by how many seats,” says a Republican pollster—so both parties are fighting for them tooth and nail.
(Read more undecided voters stories.)