Poll: Clinton Suddenly Trails Trump in Key Swing States

Including a massive 11-point swing in Florida
By Michael Harthorne,  Newser Staff
Posted Jul 13, 2016 2:15 PM CDT

(Newser) – Did Hillary Clinton insult Dan Marino or something? A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday shows Clinton all of a sudden trailing Donald Trump in Florida by three points. Just a month ago, the same poll showed her leading by eight points. And that's not the only bad news for Clinton. The poll also has her falling two points behind Trump in Pennsylvania and into a tie with him in Ohio. No one has been elected president without winning two of those three states in the past 50 years. "We know the battlegrounds are going to be close til the end," Politico quotes Clinton press secretary Brian Fallon as saying. "That's why we need to keep working so hard. Trump is a serious danger, folks."

Both Ohio and Pennsylvania are still within the poll's margin of error—as they have been in previous polls—so the only major change is in Florida, USA Today reports. It's hard to tell how much of an impact the FBI's decision not to punish Clinton for using a personal email server had on her Florida numbers. The poll did find that voters think she's smarter and better prepared to be president than Trump, but they don't think she's as moral or honest. Clinton's team still has reason to be optimistic about Florida. The sample for the poll was 29% Democrat, but Florida voters were 35% Democrat in the 2012 election and the campaign believes there will be a big Democratic turnout there this year. (Read more Election 2016 stories.)

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