US economy

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What RV Shipments Say About a Possible Recession

They're down 2 years in a row, which happened before last 3 recessions

(Newser) - Last week saw Wall Street's worst day in 2019—and also saw President Trump telling a crowd in New Hampshire that their 401(k)s will be in far worse shape if Democrats take the White House in 2020. "I don't think we're having a recession," Trump... More »

Trump Blasts 'Crazy Inverted Yield Curve'

Economists are split on signs of a recession

(Newser) - President Trump says the American economy is doing magnificently and we are "winning, big time, against China"—but one of the things still holding the economy back is the Federal Reserve chairman he appointed. In a pair of tweets Wednesday, Trump renewed his attacks on Jerome Powell, calling... More »

America Got a Bigger Raise Than It Knew

Seems US wage growth was higher than we realized

(Newser) - Feeling down about politics? The Wall Street Journal 's editorial board offers a shot in the arm: Updated economic data shows that American wages are rising more than we knew. Released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis earlier this week, the numbers reveal that worker compensation jumped 4.5%... More »

GDP Report Carries a Mixed Message

Growth slows, but consumer spending takes off

(Newser) - The US economy slowed sharply in the April-June quarter even as consumers stepped up their spending, per the AP . The gross domestic product, the economy's total output of goods and services, grew at a 2.1% annual rate last quarter, down from a 3.1% gain in the first... More »

For Trump, It's Obviously #1. Others Predict Disaster

The economy looks great, but some see a recession coming

(Newser) - Record job growth. Historic low unemployment. Rising wages. Even the Washington Post —hardly President Trump's biggest backer—is breathless over the US economy, but some experts are wondering whether the party can last. First, the good news: Employers tacked on 263,000 new jobs in April and US... More »

GDP Growth Much Better Than Expected

President Trump's 3% bar is exceeded

(Newser) - The US economy grew at a solid 3.2% annual rate in the first three months of the year, up from 2.2% at the end of 2018, for a far better outcome than expected, per the AP . However, about half the gain reflected two factors not expected to last—... More »

Mnuchin: Everything's Fine, Banks Have Money to Lend

'Not exactly confidence inspiring'

(Newser) - Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin announced Sunday that he had called the CEOs of America's six largest banks and they had confirmed him that they had ample cash available for lending. His tweet , however, alarmed some analysts, who noted that Treasury secretaries don't call bank chiefs on a Sunday... More »

An 'Ominous Flattening' Could Signal Recession by End of 2019

That's per nearly half of US CFOs in Duke/CFO Global Business Outlook survey

(Newser) - President Trump has been crowing over the past few weeks about the "best" and "greatest" economy "in the history of our country," as well as the "hottest jobs market on planet Earth," but the nation's top financial officers are less optimistic. Almost half... More »

President Trump Gets the Growth Rate He Wanted

Q2 number exceeded the 3.7% he said he wanted to be above

(Newser) - President Trump on Thursday said he'd be happy with economic growth that exceeded 3.7%—meaning he's likely quite pleased. The US economy surged in the April-June quarter, growing at an annual rate of 4.1%. That's the fastest pace since 2014, reports the AP , driven... More »

Trump Breaks Tradition on GDP Figures

He says numbers will be 'unthinkable'

(Newser) - It's not traditional for presidents to comment on economic growth figures before they are released, but President Trump isn't exactly a stickler for tradition. At a rally at an Illinois steel plant on Thursday, Trump predicted that the numbers released by the Commerce Department on Friday morning would... More »

Stocks Up on Good News for Banks, Bad News for Borrowers

Rates are going higher as data shows confidence growing since Great Recession

(Newser) - US stocks mostly rose Thursday, as markets get accustomed to the idea of investing with less of a safety net from central banks around the world, reports the AP . The European Central Bank laid out its plan to pull back from the stimulus it's pumped into markets, but it... More »

Fed Lifts Interest Rates, Expects 3.6% Unemployment

Fed: US economy has strengthened considerably since the 2007-2008 recession and is in 'great shape'

(Newser) - The Federal Reserve has hiked the short-term interest rate a quarter of a percentage point, to a range of 1.75% to 2%, and suggested that two more increases are likely to occur this year, for a total of four in 2018, reports CNBC . The rate is closely tied to... More »

Economists Predict When Next Recession Will Arrive

Most say 2020

(Newser) - When will the US enter its next recession? Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal are predicting 2020. We're currently in an economic expansion that started in mid-2009—the second-longest in American history—and 59% of the forecasters surveyed think it is most likely to end in two years... More »

Report: 200K Jobs Added by US Employers in January

And wage growth is at fastest rate in 8 years

(Newser) - US employers added a robust 200,000 jobs in January, and wages rose at the fastest pace in more than eight years. The pay gains suggest employers are competing more fiercely for workers. Raises stemming from Republican tax cuts and minimum wage increases in 18 states also likely boosted pay.... More »

Coming Soon: Big Change in Global Economic Rankings

China projected to overtake US as No. 1 in 2032

(Newser) - America can still boast of having the world's biggest economy—but only for about 15 more years. A report by the Centre for Economics and Business Research in London predicts that China will overtake the US for the top spot in 2032, reports Bloomberg . In fact, the report illustrates... More »

Financial Experts Make 5 Predictions for 2018

On everything from IPOs to the S&P 500

(Newser) - It's that time of year when financial experts are asked to dust off their crystal balls and tea leaves and offer up their predictions for the economy in 2018. At Yahoo Finance , David Nelson warns that the problem with these predictions is that experts tend to extrapolate, i.e.... More »

2 in a Row: Economy Hits a Milestone

GDP grows at 3% for 2 straight quarters, first time in 3 years

(Newser) - The US economy, helped by strong business investment, grew at a solid annual rate of 3% in the third quarter. It marks the first time in three years that growth has hit that mark for two consecutive quarters, per the AP . The Commerce Department says the July-September advance in the... More »

Only One Country Beat US for Most Competitive Economy

Switzerland is No. 1 in World Economic Forum ranking

(Newser) - One of Donald Trump's platforms during the presidential campaign was to "restore America's competitive edge," but the US might not be doing so shabby after all. Quartz , which features the World Economic Forum's new Global Competitiveness Report , notes that the United States has actually ascended... More »

GDP Grows at Fastest Rate in 2 Years

Economy grew 3% in 2nd quarter, higher than expected

(Newser) - The US economy rebounded sharply in the spring, growing at the fastest pace in more than two years amid brisk consumer spending on autos and other goods, per the AP . The gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic health, grew at an annual rate of 3% in the April-June... More »

New Jobs Report Erases Job Losses in Recession

Unemployment rate drops to 4.3%, tying May's 16-year low

(Newser) - It's another solid jobs report: The US economy added 209,000 new jobs in July as the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.3%, per the AP . That ties a 16-year low reached in May. The job gains exceeded expectations of about 180,000, but the Wall Street Journal ... More »

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