New Electoral Math Doesn't Add Up to President Trump

And it hasn't really changed in three months
By Michael Harthorne,  Newser Staff
Posted Jun 23, 2016 3:40 PM CDT
New Electoral Math Doesn't Add Up to President Trump
Donald Trump speaks during a rally in Eugene, Ore., last month.   (AP Photo/Ted S. Warren, File)

The electoral math hasn't changed much in the past three months, and that's bad news for Donald Trump's presidential aspirations. The University of Virginia Center for Politics released a map at the end of March that projected 347 electoral votes for Clinton and 191 for Trump. They released their updated map Thursday, and it shows ... 347 electoral votes for Clinton and 191 for Trump. “The state of the general election has not shifted much," the Center for Politics states. "Clinton remains a substantial favorite.” In fact, since receiving a bump after locking up the nomination, Trump has trailed Clinton in every national poll over the past four weeks, CBS News reports. In five major national polls released this week, Clinton leads by an average of more than six points.

Some things did change on the Center for Politics' map: Arizona, Georgia, and Utah are now less of a sure thing for Trump, while Pennsylvania is less securely for Clinton. Pennsylvania could end up being incredibly important for Trump, though it hasn't gone Republican in 28 years. If the map stays unchanged—which is unlikely given there are still more than four months before Election Day—Clinton would defeat Trump by a margin of victory somewhere between Obama's two wins. Elsewhere, Clinton has pulled even with Trump in Ohio, a state which no Republican president has ever lost, and is increasing her lead in Florida, reports. In other poll news, both candidates remain wildly unpopular with voters. Trump is viewed negatively by 60% of people nationally, while Clinton is viewed negatively by 58%. (More Election 2016 stories.)

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