Super Tuesday is here, and the stakes are huge. More than a third of all pledged delegates are at stake as 14 states vote. Joe Biden is riding big momentum, Bernie Sanders is hoping to grab an insurmountable lead, Elizabeth Warren hopes for a surprise strong showing that keeps her in the race, and Michael Bloomberg faces the first real test of his novel skip-the-early-states strategy. A sample of analysis and previews:
- Spoiler alert: Sanders is a near lock to win the most delegates Tuesday because he is headed for victory in the biggest state at play, California, and he's also expected to win the second biggest, Texas. California alone has a whopping 415 delegates to dole out, and "the only question is how big is the size of Bernie Sanders' win," per Politico. This isn't winner-take-all, so Biden and the others can rake in delegates of their own, provided they meet the 15% threshold.
- The 'real' question: "The real fight at the moment is not to beat Sanders in delegates collected on Super Tuesday," writes Chris Cillizza at CNN, because he sees that as impossible. Rather, it's "to be the person who takes the second most delegates, and, by extension, can make the case as the Bernie alternative." For Biden to do so, he'll need strong results in California and Texas, and big wins in the South. The Democrats' "nightmare scenario" is a second-place "muddle," Cillizza adds.