2 Polls Show RNC Cut Into Biden's Lead

Trump still trails, but gap is down to 6 points
By Bob Cronin,  Newser Staff
Posted Aug 30, 2020 9:45 AM CDT
2 New Polls: Biden's Lead Shrinks to 6 Points
A supporter holds a sign as President Trump speaks during a campaign rally Friday, the day after the Republican National Convention ended, in Londonderry, N.H.   (AP Photo/Charles Krupa)

The highly anticipated "convention bounce" has been fading in recent election cycles. And anyway, the New York Times reports, polls usually show voters soon return to where they were. But President Trump has received a bounce this time that he can bask in: Two polls taken as the Republican National Convention ended show Joe Biden's lead at 6 percentage points, the smallest it's been in two months. A Yahoo News-YouGov poll measured the shift by contacting the same people it polled in late July. The new poll found Biden ahead 47%-41%, down from a 9-point lead the month before, Yahoo News reports. Trump's "strength" ratings may have driven his improvement. Before the convention, 33% attributed the quality to Trump, while 38% did afterward. Still, the president didn't pick up support from those looking for a "law and order" candidate.

A Morning Consult poll taken Friday found a similar gap, with Biden on top 50%-40%. That was 4 points better than Trump polled last weekend. Biden had no comparable bump after the Democratic National Convention, per Morning Consult; Trump did have a bounce in 2016. But because fewer voters are undecided this time, polls show Biden in better shape now than Hillary Clinton was then. Trump has been hammering voters with warnings about suburban life, and he did narrow that gap to 6 points; Biden now leads among 50-42 among suburban voters. The GOP convention didn't improve Trump's likability ratings, though it did hurt Biden's. As before, 55% view the president unfavorably and 43% favorably. Biden fell from 51% to a 49% favorability rating after the Republican convention. (GOP convention showed who owns the party now.)

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