Mitt Romney Would Win Election Do-Over: Poll

Obama's numbers looking bad in wake of health care rollout
By Kevin Spak,  Newser Staff
Posted Nov 19, 2013 10:43 AM CST
Mitt Romney Would Win Election Do-Over: Poll
In this March 15, 2013, file photo, Mitt Romney acknowledges the crowd prior to speaking to at the 40th annual Conservative Political Action Conference in National Harbor, Md.   (AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta, File)

Just how bad are things for President Obama a year into his second term? So bad that if the American people got a mulligan on the 2012 election, there's a good shot we'd be looking at a President Romney. A Washington Post-ABC News poll reveals that if the election were held today, Obama would lose the popular vote 45% to 49%. While the Post reminds us that the Electoral College, not the popular vote, is the ultimate decider, it notes that spread roughly mirrors the 4 points Obama actually won by, and reflects plummeting support from his key demographics:

  • Obama won women by 11 points; now, his edge is down to one point.
  • He won voters aged 18-39 by 18 points; that's down to two.
  • He won voters earning less than $50,000 by 22 points; it's down to three.
  • He's now nine points in the hole with voters without a college degree, after winning them by four points.
  • While he'd still win 59% of liberals, that's down from 75%—and 20% now say they'd vote for Romney.
Obama's approval rating has fallen 13 points this year to 42%, tying its lowest mark ever in the poll. The culprit, as you might suspect, is at least in part the Affordable Care Act rollout, which 63% think has been handled poorly. The public now opposes the law itself 57%-40%, its worst numbers yet, and 71% favor delaying the individual mandate. (Read more Barack Obama stories.)

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