Polls Indicate Landslide Election Unlikely

Obama lacking the late-summer numbers for a blowout
By Sam Biddle,  Newser Staff
Posted Aug 13, 2008 1:25 PM CDT
Polls Indicate Landslide Election Unlikely
Most presidential candidates who win in a landslide are polling much higher than Barack Obama by the end of August.   (AP Photo/Joe Raymond)

(Newser) – Despite a persistent surge of enthusiasm from supporters, current polls indicate that Barack Obama's numbers lack the telltale signs of a November landslide, Politico reports. In five out of the six postwar landslides—a victory of 10% or more—the winner was ahead by at least 10% at the end of August. Obama is currently polling ahead by 2% to 5%.

Some contend the critical factor preventing Obama from polling higher by now is his race.
Says a managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research: “If the Democratic nominee were a white male from a red or purple state, the theory would be dead on that this would be set up, there would be a very, very high probability for a Democratic landslide." (Read more Barack Obama stories.)

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