What to Watch as NY Votes

They're the first competitive primaries in decades
By Rob Quinn,  Newser Staff
Posted Apr 19, 2016 5:34 AM CDT
Updated Apr 19, 2016 6:11 AM CDT
What to Expect in NY Primaries
Hillary Clinton talks with patrons at a restaurant in Flushing, Queens.   (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

Tuesday is primary day in New York, the biggest prize until California votes on June 7, and all five remaining campaigns went into overdrive Monday. Polls suggest big wins lie ahead for front-runners Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump—but there's still plenty of room for surprises, and in this year's races, every delegate counts. A roundup of coverage:

  • This is the first competitive GOP presidential primary in the state in 40 years, and the first in 24 years for Democrats, Politico reports in a look at how merely winning may not be enough for Clinton and Trump. To get all 95 delegates up for grabs, Trump needs at least 50% of the vote in every congressional district.

  • FiveThirtyEight takes a district-by-district look at the GOP primary and finds that Trump's weakest spots could be Brooklyn, where Russian Jews favor Ted Cruz, and Manhattan, where a "ridiculously" well-educated group of voters could hand John Kasich a victory.
  • Politico has a list of districts to watch in both races, noting that around half of the state's Democratic votes will be cast in New York City, but only around 15% of Republican ones.
  • The Washington Post reports on Monday's "flurry of retail politicking" in New York City, with Clinton drinking "bubble tea" at Kung Fu Tea in Flushing while Trump rolled out a "diversity coalition" at Trump Tower.
  • Sanders, meanwhile, slammed both Clinton and corporate greed at an outdoor rally in Long Island City Monday night, the Hill reports. "It is an enormously important primary because there are a lot of delegates at stake," he said. "Tomorrow, New York state can help take this country a giant step forward toward the political revolution." The AP notes that if he fails to defy the polls and defeat Clinton, he faces "increasingly limited opportunities to change the trajectory of the race."
  • Vox reports on a factor likely to hurt both Trump, who tends to benefit from high turnout, and Sanders, the choice of many independents: New York ranks a dismal 48th out of 50 states in voter turnout—and Tuesday's primaries are closed. The deadline to register party affiliation was in October, which means two of Trump's own children can't vote for him.
(More Election 2016 stories.)

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