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As Iowa Caucuses, One Big Change - Page 2

Iowa Democratic Party will release more data than usual
By Kate Seamons,  Newser Staff
Posted Feb 3, 2020 6:38 AM CST

  • How predictive? The caucuses have been very prescient in the 21st century: Every winner since 2000 has ended up being the Democratic nominee, notes the AP, though Axios adds neither Bill Clinton nor Donald Trump won Iowa.
  • What the polls say: Fox News cites two: An Emerson College poll out Sunday night put Bernie Sanders at 28%, Joe Biden at 21%, Pete Buttigieg at 15%, Elizabeth Warren at 14%, and Amy Klobuchar at 11%. CBS News' poll has essentially the same order, though it has Sanders and Biden in a tie at 25%, with Buttigieg at 21%, Warren at 16%, and Klobuchar at 5%. (The Des Moines Register/CNN poll wasn't released because of a snafu).
  • The response: Axios takes a look at how Sanders' rivals are "lower[ing] expectations" in the face of a possible Sanders victory, with "advisers to Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg ... already insisting that Iowa's not everything in advance of possible disappointments tonight."
  • The final pitch: Politico takes a look at how Sanders and Warren were operating at the very last minute. The crux of its take: "In the final hours ... the two leading progressive presidential candidates are making diametrically opposed pitches to voters: Sanders' campaign is leaning hard into their anti-establishment bonafides, while Warren is selling herself as a candidate who can unify a fractured Democratic Party."
  • Sanders already won one caucus: That would be the kids caucus, which was held Saturday at Sidekick Coffee & Books in Iowa City. The Iowa City Press-Citizen has the quirky story.
(Read more Iowa caucuses stories.)

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