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Nate Silver: Here's What I See

And more talk around the Sunday dial
By Neal Colgrass,  Newser Staff
Posted Nov 4, 2018 1:10 PM CST
Nate Silver speaks at the Grand Hotel on Mackinac Island, Mich., Thursday, May 28, 2015.   (Tanya Moutzalias/The Ann Arbor News-MLive.com Detroit via AP)

(Newser) – FiveThirtyEight forecaster Nate Silver has made his election prediction perfectly clear—more or less. "So in the House we have Democrats with about a 4 in 5 chance of winning," he says on ABC's This Week, per ABC News. But he adds that "polls aren't always right" and says "the range of outcomes in the House is really wide. Our range, which covers 80% of outcomes, goes from, on the low end, about 15 Democratic pickups, all the way to low to mid-50s, 52 or 53. Most of those are under 23, which is how many seats they would need to win to take the House. But no one should be surprised if they only win 19 seats and no one should be surprised if they win 51 seats. Those are both extremely possible..." For more around the Sunday dial, including an ad tweeted by Trump and possible voter suppression:

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