Hillary Clinton is a contender to be Barack Obama’s Secretary of State, but taking the job probably wouldn’t help her if she wants to succeed Obama in 2016, Nate Silver writes on FiveThirtyEight. Being part of a popular Democratic administration certainly wouldn’t hurt, but it would be easier for Clinton to distance herself from an unpopular one if she wasn’t part of it.
If President Obama is popular, Silver posits, Clinton will be able to capitalize on a strong Democratic brand whether she served in the Cabinet or not. But if the call for “change” is again popular in 2016, Hillary will be a stronger candidate for having some distance from the outgoing administration. (Read more Hillary Clinton stories.)