A spate of new polls, some public, some internal, suggest trouble for President Trump's 2020 campaign. One in particular sees a growing problem with his support among women. The details:
- CNN: The latest poll from CNN has Joe Biden up by 14 points overall, 55% to 41%. Last month, Biden's lead was just 5 points, notes the Hill. The poll also found that Trump's approval rating dipped 7 points to 38% and is now the lowest since January 2019. CNN makes a point to note that his approval rating is about the same as that of Jimmy Carter and George HW Bush at this point in their campaigns, and both lost reelection.
- Trump responds: "CNN Polls are as Fake as their Reporting," he tweeted Monday. "Same numbers, and worse, against Crooked Hillary. The Dems would destroy America!" Last week, on Fox News Radio, he had a similar theme, reports the AP: "Just like last time, I was losing to Hillary in every state, and I won every state.”
- Women voters: But the CNN poll isn't the only new one with bad news for Trump. The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey shows that the president trails Biden by 21 points among women, 56% to 35%. That's not so much a gender gap as a "canyon," and one that would make reelection difficult if the numbers hold up, per NBC. The margin is wider among women with college degrees, 25 points, though the president leads by 5 points among women without college degrees. Hillary Clinton beat Trump by 13 points among women.
- Internal: The Trump campaign's internal polling results in regard to the pandemic and the George Floyd protests are "brutal," anonymous Trump advisers tell Axios. The polls show a particular drop-off among independent voters, and one adviser adds that Trump also has a "woman problem." The Drudge Report was highlighting the Axios story with a red headline, "Internal Polls Collapse."
- On race: A poll from NPR/PBS News Hour/Marist finds that two-thirds of Americans think Trump raised racial tensions in the US with his actions and statements amid the George Floyd protests. One telling stat: Even among Republicans, 59% think he either increased tensions (29%) or are not sure (30%). "It's very unusual to see Republicans break when the name Trump is presented, but that is the case here," Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, tells NPR.
- Bottom line: "If the election were held today, he'd likely lose," the AP writes of Trump. A key problem: "Internal campaign surveys and public polling showed a steady erosion in support for Trump among older people and in battleground states once believed to be leaning decisively in the president's direction," per the story, based on interviews with six current and former campaign officials. It's why the campaign has recently started a TV blitz in Ohio.
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