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New Poll Shows Trump Beating Clinton Nationally*

*Not so fast, say other polls
By Michael Harthorne,  Newser Staff
Posted Jun 30, 2016 1:33 PM CDT
A new poll shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton nationally.   (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)

(Newser) – Despite Nate Silver giving Hillary Clinton a 79% chance of winning and a new map showing her with nearly double the electoral votes of Donald Trump, a poll released Thursday by Rasmussen Reports finds Trump actually beating Clinton among likely US voters. The poll has Trump with 43% of the vote to Clinton's 39% only a week after trailing her by five points. It's the best Trump has done in the poll since October, and it shows him being supported by 75% of Republicans and 14% of Democrats. Rasmussen Reports says possible reasons for the Trump bump include a speech on jobs he gave Tuesday, the results of the Brexit vote in the UK, and the deadly terrorist attack in Istanbul.

However, much like with soul mates, there's a poll out there for everyone. A Fox News poll released Wednesday not only shows Clinton beating Trump 44% to 38%—up from a three-point lead—but that more than half of Republicans would prefer someone other than Trump. Meanwhile, a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday has Clinton's four-point lead over Trump shrinking to two points, with both Republicans and Democrats apparently agreeing that neither Trump nor Clinton would make for a good president. "This is where we are. Voters find themselves in the middle of a mean-spirited, scorched-earth campaign between two candidates they don't like," the poll's assistant director says. At least until the next polls are released. (Read more Election 2016 stories.)

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