The 2020 race has been remarkably stable in some respects: Joe Biden continues to lead in the national polls and by a smaller margin in the battleground states. But the latest polls suggest that President Trump has drastically lost support among a crucial bloc of voters, those 65 and older. The gap has surprised observers, who say Trump's re-election chances are in serious trouble if it remains. Coverage:
- The numbers: Two recent polls say Trump trails Biden among seniors by more than 20 points. A CNN poll has the gap at 21 points (60-39), while an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll has it at 27 points (62-35). All of which is especially surprising because Trump won this same group by 9 points over Hillary Clinton in 2016, according to the Pew Research Center.
- The reaction: Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report calls it a "gray revolt," and Mike Allen of Axios sees it as "unexpected" and "stunning" because the senior drop-off could not only take down Trump but "the whole Republican power structure." Greg Sargent of the Washington Post calls it "astonishing" and "really hard to believe."