With One Week to Go, Here's What the Polls Say

Trump isn't closing the gap as much as he did late in 2016 race
By Newser Editors,  Newser Staff
Posted Oct 27, 2020 1:50 PM CDT

(Newser) – With Election Day just a week away, the latest polls convey a familiar message: Joe Biden leads President Trump and remains the favorite to win. That, of course, comes with the by-now standard caveats that Hillary Clinton led Trump in all the polls, too, in 2016. Details:

  • Numbers: The Real Clear Politics average of polls has Biden up nationally by 7.4 points, which Newsweek notes is down from 10.3 points on Oct. 11. The average at FiveThirtyEight.com has Biden up 9.1 points, down from 10.7 on Oct. 19. The latter has a separate forecast giving Biden an 87% chance of victory in a sample of simulations. That still leaves Trump with a "meaningful" chance of victory.

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